Bills vs Bengals NFL Player Props: Week 9 Vivid Picks for SNF
We are BACK with another boost for Sunday Night Football! This week's player props will be in the Bengals and Bills game. It has a high total of 49.5, and the Bengals are narrow favorites in this spot. I put together some of my favorite plays at Vivid Picks along with a breakdown of each.
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Each week, I’ll be posting a free article with a few of my favorite plays of the week, some reasons why, and what I would play each leg to. If you enjoy my reasoning and want 15+ official plays each week, snag yourself a betting subscription for as low as $5! Also, join our FREE Vivid Picks Discord.
If you like my plays below, Vivid is offering a FREE boost! All you have to do is sign up using our code (4for4sub), click on “NFL,” click on the special boost pinned to the top, and your play will be boosted after you submit it!
Sunday Night Football Vivid Picks Player Props
Joe Burrow over 268.5 passing yards
I expect this game to be electric. Joe Burrow and the Bengals came out of the bye and trounced the San Francisco 49ers last week. The biggest aspect was their offensive success against a good 49ers defense. They now draw the Bills, whose defense has been playing horrendously lately. Since they lost Matt Milano and Daquon Jones, they are bottom 3 in EPA per play allowed and 28th in success rate despite playing against the Jags, Bucs, Giants, and Patriots. I expect Burrow and the Bengals to have tons of success on the ground and through the air.
Josh Allen over 27.5 rushing yards
Josh Allen’s rushing numbers have been deflated so far this season, but in big games, he tends to run significantly more frequently. It’s a trend that we have capitalized on in the playoffs, and this is a game with potentially massive playoff implications. On top of that, we saw him get more involved in the running game last week, with 36 rushing yards on 6 carries.
Tyler Boyd under 4 receptions
With Joe Burrow healthy, the Bengals are not forced to play their quick-throw game, where Joe Burrow has to get the ball out as soon as possible. He was able to play under center, leverage play action, and throw the ball with a bit more power downfield. This works against a guy like Tyler Boyd, who saw 7 or more targets for 5 straight games. Last week, he saw just 3 targets. I expect more of the same here as Boyd fades behind Higgins and Chase as the third option in the receiving game.
Dalton Kincaid over 38.5 receiving yards
This line hasn’t adjusted enough to his new usage. Kincaid ran a route on 85% of dropbacks last week without Dawson Knox. He now has 8/75 and 5/65 in two games with more usage. In what is expected to be a back-and-forth affair, I not only like Kincaid’s over but think there is a ton of upside to his game.
If you like my plays below, Vivid is offering a FREE boost! All you have to do is sign up using our code (4for4sub), click on “NFL,” click on the special boost pinned to the top, and your play will be boosted after you submit it!
