FanDuel & DraftKings NFL DFS Week 3 GPP Breakdown

Sep 23, 2023

Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports

In this space each week will be the top stacks, contrarian plays, and strategies to attack GPPs on both FanDuel and DraftKings. The backbone of our player pool is value, as highlighted by 4for4’s proprietary value metric, which goes beyond simple point-per-dollar projections. To be successful in GPPs, however, it’s essential to be unique and that can be accomplished by combining knowledge from 4for4’s suite of DFS tools including ownership projections, leverage scores, correlation, and stack values.

Even with all of these resources at our disposal, adjusting for game type is essential. For example, someone playing the Millionaire Maker shouldn’t have the same approach as someone entering a $300 single-entry contest with 150 entries. For nuanced explanations on game selection and lineup construction, be sure to check out 4for4’s DFS Strategy Hub and DFS MVP game theory segments.

Note: Many of 4for4’s value plays should be in your GPP player pool but may not necessarily be written about below. Most starters on teams with high implied totals are worthy of being rostered but players in this breakdown are those to be overweight on.

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More Week 3 DFS Strategy: Top Values and Cash Plays | WR/CB Matchups | Ownership Projections | Leverage Scores

Popular Games to Target

Chargers @ Vikings (-1); O/U 54

You’re not going to believe this, but everyone is intrigued by this game and what is the highest total (by a full six points!) on the board. Stacking players here isn't the issue so much as figuring how to do it uniquely.

It helps to know how the Vikings will defend Justin Herbert ($8,400 FD/$7,500 DK). Brian Flores, for example, has schemed man coverage on only two total snaps through two games, blitzing at the first- and second-highest rate of any defense out the gates; even as D’Andre Swift punched Minnesota in the mouth for 6.3 yards per carry on Thursday night, Flores refused to budge. And that bodes well for Joshua Kelley ($6,100 FD/$5,400 DK), fresh off handling 65% of the team’s backfield touches with a route on 66% of dropbacks against Tennessee's stingy front seven. Kelley can be stacked with Herbert given his opportunity under the hood.