NBA Player Prop Bets: Walker Kessler Is Hosting a Block Party

Mar 24, 2023

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With just over two weeks of regular season basketball left, every NBA slate from here on out will carry some significant playoff, play-in, or tanking implications. Depending on which of the three are involved, we’ll see more condensed rotations with teams leaning into eight- and nine-man rotations, while others will be scaling back their starters’ minutes and giving run to the reserves to evaluate their young players. This will play a huge part in the prop market movement and leave value for us to take advantage of. My three favorite props for Friday’s 10-game slate are outlined below.

Regarding the process behind the plays, the suite of tools that 4for4 offers are second-to-none. I use the NBA Splits Tool to break down injury impacts and lineup changes and the NBA Prop Stat Explorer to look at historical data for how the player performs relative to their prop and compare it to our in-house projection. Using these alongside the Player Prop Finder to shop for the best line, 4for4 makes betting on NBA player props a stress-free and fun process.

Now, let’s put the tools to use and get to today’s top player props.

Today’s NBA Player Prop Bets (March 24, 2023)

Deni Avdija Over 25.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-105 at DraftKings)

As mentioned previously, some teams are in the process of scaling back and/or shutting down starters, with the Wizards seemingly being one of them. With both Bradley Beal and Kyle Kuzma sidelined for the second consecutive game, Avdija should continue to have an expanded role.

Despite only posting a 21.5% usage rate, Avdija led the team with a 30.8% defensive rebounding rate and also led the team with a 24.0% assist rate, producing a serviceable 16-point, eight-rebound, six-assist performance in 32 minutes.

Risk: 1.05 units on DraftKings to win 1 unit.