Week 18 NFL Player Props: Best Player Props to Bet From Connor Allen

Jan 06, 2023

Connor Allen's Top Week 18 NFL Player Props

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I usually start this article by going through my bets from last week and some of the craziest beats. This week I didn’t think that was appropriate given Damar Hamlin and the scary situation that occurred in Cincinnati. Thankfully, at this point, it looks like Hamlin is continuing to recover but our thoughts and prayers remain with him and his family. Everyone watching was impacted by what we saw differently but I think we can all agree that life is extremely fragile. What seemed like a normal collision we witness hundreds of times every Sunday nearly turned into a catastrophe. Hug your loved ones and be thankful for every day we get. Those looking to continue supporting Hamlin you can do so by donating to his community toy drive.

Ryan Noonan's Week 18 Prop Bets

Week 18 NFL Player Prop Bets

Trevor Lawrence Over 259.5 Passing Yards (-110 at MGM)

This is playable at 261.5 at FanDuel and up to 265.5.

The Titans are a massive pass funnel ranking second in run DVOA and 28th in pass DVOA. The Jaguars clearly knew this going into their Week 14 matchup and skewed massively pass-heavy. Heading into the fourth quarter up 33-14, the Jaguars had 38 pass attempts to just 16 running plays, good for a 70% pass rate. Both the attempts number (34.5) and completions number (23.5) are too low as well as long as we get three competitive quarters, but I prefer the yardage overs given a quick blowout could sink the volume-based props. The upside here for Trevor Lawrence is immense in a must-win game given the matchup.

Risk: 1.10 units to win 1 unit at BetMGM.