Week 13 DraftKings & FanDuel Winning GPP Lineup Review

Dec 06, 2022
Week 13 Winning GPP Lineup Review

In this space each week, I will review the winning lineups from the DraftKings Millionaire Maker and the FanDuel Sunday Million. Analyzing top lineups can help to tease out lineup-building strategies and offer clues on how you could have landed on a similar team.

DraftKings Week 13 Millionaire Winning Lineup

Ownership

Ownership In DraftKings Millionaire Maker Winning Lineups, 2022
Week QB RB1 RB2 WR1 WR2 WR3 TE Flex Flex Pos DEF Cumulative
1 9.1% 14.2% 9.3% 27.1% 12.5% 11.2% 17.2% 7.9% WR 3.0% 111.5%
2 3.6% 10.4% 8.4% 21.3% 19.7% 14.4% 9.2% 6.3% WR 1.8% 95.1%
3 2.3% 16.0% 13.9% 16.9% 8.8% 5.6% 2.6% 1.4% WR 15.7% 83.2%
4 6.8% 38.0% 15.2% 15.4% 11.4% 5.7% 19.8% 6.1% RB 3.3% 121.7%
5 12.1% 14.1% 13.9% 27.0% 13.4% 7.5% 7.8% 9.6% RB 22.7% 128.1%
6 4.4% 12.7% 8.5% 14.7% 4.9% 3.2% 2.6% 2.4% WR 0.6% 54.0%
7 17.0% 46.7% 32.1% 15.4% 2.6% 2.1% 8.1% 21.4% RB 43.8% 189.2%
8 21.1% 50.9% 12.5% 27.6% 28.8% 26.4% 1.6% 7.4% WR 0.9% 177.2%
9 14.2% 40.5% 13.6% 14.9% 10.0% 8.5% 1.4% 12.2% RB 10.2% 125.5%
10 29.4% 25.8% 10.6% 20.4% 16.9% 10.3% 16.0% 2.4% WR 16.0% 147.8%
11 0.6% 13.4% 11.3% 14.1% 4.6% 3.7% 5.4% 5.6% RB 6.6% 65.3%
12 7.0% 10.4% 3.5% 14.8% 13.1% 8.8% 17.4% 4.5% WR 24.2% 103.7%
13 1.9% 14.9% 7.7% 33.9% 27.7% 10.1% 1.5% 5.1% WR 4.0% 106.8%
AVG 10.0% 23.7% 12.3% 20.3% 13.4% 9.0% 8.5% 7.1% 11.8% 116.1%

This was just the second Millionaire winner this season to us two wide receivers with ownership of 20% or higher. From 2019–2021, there were only four such winners.

Despite two players over 20%, this lineup had below-average cumulative ownership for a winner by using five players under 10% with three of those below 5%—just four other winners this year have used such a combination of sub-10% plays.

Stacks

Stacks Used In DraftKings Millionaire Maker Winning Lineups, 2022
Week Primary Stack Secondary Stack Third Stack Correlated Players
1 QB/TE RB/Opp WR WR/Opp WR 6
2 QB/WR/WR/Opp TE 4
3 QB/TE RB/Opp WR 4
4 QB/WR/WR/Opp RB/Opp WR/Opp TE 6
5 QB/WR RB/WR/TE WR/Opp WR 7
6 QB/WR/Opp RB 3
7 QB/WR/TE RB/Opp RB 5
8 QB/WR/WR RB/DEF WR/TE 7
9 QB/WR/TE/Opp WR RB/DEF 6
10 QB/Opp WR RB/Opp WR TE/Opp WR 6
11 QB/WR/Opp RB 3
12 QB/RB WR/Opp TE WR/DEF 6
13 QB/WR RB/TE RB/WR 6

For the sixth time this season, the Millionaire winner used correlation plays from three different games. Over the previous two years, just nine total winners used more than two stacks.

Winning Millionaire lineups are averaging just over five correlated players.

No other winning lineup this year has stacked two of their running backs with another player from the same game. From 2019–2020, that happened nine times.

Flex

The field flexed a wide receiver 55% of the time with 18% of all lineups using two tight ends. Top-1% lineups used four wide receivers 68% of the time and only 7% flexed a tight end.

Leverage

Geno Smith was priced just $200 above Trevor Lawrence, who was the most popular quarterback on the slate, used in over 15% of lineups. Lockett had a similar salary to Lawrence’s teammate Christian Kirk, who at 22%, was the third-most rostered wide receiver on the slate.

FanDuel Week 13 Sunday Million Winning Lineup

Ownership

Ownership In FanDuel Sunday Million Winning Lineups, 2022
Week QB RB1 RB2 WR1 WR2 WR3 TE Flex Flex Pos DEF Cumulative
1 9.9% 17.7% 9.1% 17.4% 12.6% 6.2% 14.5% 1.2% RB 2.8% 91.4%
2 3.0% 7.9% 2.8% 9.9% 6.4% 5.9% 8.7% 0.5% WR 4.6% 49.7%
3 4.4% 15.0% 5.0% 15.6% 5.6% 4.2% 4.1% 1.9% RB 6.6% 62.4%
4 2.2% 31.2% 12.8% 11.7% 7.6% 7.6% 20.1% 3.9% RB 4.8% 101.9%
5 17.8% 17.4% 13.0% 22.7% 14.7% 0.9% 3.8% 6.3% RB 4.6% 101.2%
6 4.2% 29.8% 2.9% 13.7% 4.3% 4.0% 0.4% 0.7% WR 8.0% 68.0%
7 16.2% 25.1% 22.6% 17.5% 5.4% 4.0% 11.3% 16.0% RB 2.9% 121.0%
8 22.7% 61.6% 14.9% 25.7% 23.0% 10.3% 7.7% 14.3% RB 17.0% 197.2%
9 7.2% 31.1% 8.8% 16.0% 12.1% 4.3% 1.1% 6.4% RB 11.6% 98.6%
10 21.6% 26.0% 10.5% 24.4% 17.1% 6.3% 13.7% 5.2% RB 12.4% 137.2%
11 24.2% 15.9% 4.6% 19.6% 4.7% 3.7% 7.8% 1.6% RB 10.9% 93.0%
12 11.7% 15.9% 12.2% 12.9% 8.9% 4.3% 14.6% 2.2% RB 12.8% 95.5%
13 8.8% 15.5% 3.5% 24.4% 15.6% 15.1% 8.5% 0.1% WR 4.6% 96.1%
AVG 11.8% 23.9% 9.4% 17.8% 10.6% 5.9% 8.9% 4.6% 8.0% 101.0%

This was the first winning Sunday Million lineup of 2022 that used three wide receivers all above 15% ownership. Just three other winners over the past three seasons used such a lineup.

From 2019–2021, the average cumulative ownership of winning Sunday million lineups was 117%, a number reached by just three winners this season.

Stacks

Stacks Used In FanDuel Sunday Million Winning Lineups, 2022
Week Primary Stack Secondary Stack Third Stack Correlated Players
1 QB/TE 2
2 QB/WR/WR/Opp TE RB/Opp WR 6
3 QB/TE RB/WR/DEF RB/WR 7
4 QB/RB/WR/TE/Opp WR RB/WR 7
5 QB/WR/WR RB/TE 5
6 QB/WR WR/TE 4
7 QB/WR/WR 3
8 RB/WR WR/Opp WR/Opp TE 5
9 QB/WR/TE RB/WR 5
10 QB/TE RB/WR 4
11 RB/WR/Opp RB WR/Opp TE 5
12 QB/RB/TE WR/WR 5
13 QB/WR RB/DEF WR/TE 6

Of the 11 quarterback stacks used in winning Sunday Million lineups this year (two winners used an unstacked quarterback), only two have used a player on the opposing offense. Of the 15 non-quarterback mini-stacks, 11 have been players from the same team.

Winning Sunday Million lineups are averaging just under five correlated players.

Leverage

One way to gain leverage on the field is through unique roster construction. This was the first winning Sunday Million lineup of 2022 to roster a running back with a salary below $6,000, let alone two such backs. From 2019–2021, one other winner used two sub-$6K running backs.

Equanimeos St. Brown didn’t have a huge day but his basement salary and ownership helped offset the salary and ownership of the big-three wide receiver construction.

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