Ryan Noonan: 2 Conference Championship NFL Player Props I'm Betting
I'm constantly railing on our ability, or inability, to consistently beat a market as liquid as NFL sides. Player props, though? Player props are an entirely different story.
If you're here, it's unlikely you're a casual player. You put in the necessary time and effort it takes to win money or humiliate your friends, ideally both. I'm the same way. I don't play many traditional redraft leagues these days, but I'm constantly thinking about game environments and player usage, and these thoughts correlate so well with the prop market.
There are similarities prop betting has with traditional markets like sides and totals. First, the best way to consistently put yourself in a position to realize positive expected value (+EV) long-term is to beat the closing line number. Secondly, and this is more difficult with sides than props, but you need to have better numbers than the market. With player props, that means having the best projections. Projections that give you an edge against the field. Well, this is 4for4. We have the best projections, full stop.
Don't forget to join our Discord chat. It's the best way to maximize your subscription at 4for4, and it's easy to set up push notifications so you can get pinged as soon as one of our contributors posts a pick. Also, tune into our Prop Drop Show. Connor and I are joined by PropStarz, and we go around the horn, sharing our favorite props for the week. The best part is the back half of the show, where we take all the listener/viewer questions that we have time for. If you miss it live, catch the replay on YouTube.
More Player Props: Connor Allen
*Betting lines accurate at the time of publication.
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