NBA Player Prop Bets: See Ball, Bet Ball
Monday brings a small six-game NBA slate with some of the NBA's best teams in action. Chicago, Golden State, Milwaukee and Phoenix all take the floor tonight, for an exciting and competitive night of hoops. COVID-19 protocols are still in play, with many teams still carrying shorthanded rosters with several players on 10-day contracts. Our NBA Player Prop Tool and NBA Prop Stat Explorer Tool are critical resources to help identify those key spots for betting advantages. Of course, monitor our Discord activity for all the key last-minute updates. Let's dive into three props for tonight.
*Lines accurate at the time of publication.
DraftKings Player Prop Bets (January 10, 2022)
[subscribe_betting]
LaMelo Ball (CHA) Over 2.5 Three-Pointers Made (+140)
Terry Rozier was on fire in Charlotte's 114-106 Saturday win over Milwaukee—6-of-10 from three-point range, 28 points total (led all Hornets in scoring). I'm banking on a better defensive effort from Milwaukee on Rozier, opening up more scoring chances for LaMelo Ball from deep.
Milwaukee is limited on the perimeter with Jrue Holiday (ankle), George Hill (protocols) and Grayson Allen (protocols) out. Pat Connaughton (protocols) is also listed as questionable, giving Charlotte a huge advantage on the perimeter. Ball is shooting 38.1% from deep on the season and is averaging 7.8 attempts from deep this month. He is also averaging 11 attempts from long distance in two games against Milwaukee this season.
The odds make this incredibly tempting, especially coming off Rozier's huge game on Saturday.
Risk: 0.8 units on DraftKings to win 1.14 units. (Playable to +120)
Caesars Player Prop Bets (January 10, 2022)
Bobby Portis (MIL) Over 9.5 Rebounds (+110)
Another plus-money prop that projects to hit, according to our Prop Tool. No team allows more rebounds to opposing centers than Charlotte, allowing an average of 18.8 this season. Bobby Portis is averaging 10.2 rebounds per game (RPG) this month, including 13 rebounds in their loss to Charlotte on Saturday. Portis is averaging 0.32 rebounds per minute this year against Charlotte and should see substantial playing time due to Milwaukee's roster limitations. The only concern is foul trouble, but Portis has only hit four or more fouls in 11 of the last 13 games. The motivation is high for the Bucks, who are just 2.5 games behind the first-place Bulls in the Eastern Conference standings. I think we get Milwaukee's best effort tonight, with Portis a continual interior presence.
Risk: 1 unit on Caesars to win 1.1 units. (Playable to -110)
FanDuel Player Prop Bets (January 10, 2022)
Domantas Sabonis (IND) Under 39.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-102)
I love fading scaling hot players coming off big games, which is why I'm taking the under on this line tonight. The Pacers are facing a Celtics team finally close to full strength, featuring a strong two-way frontline of Robert Williams, Al Horford and Jayson Tatum. Over the past two weeks, Boston has the fourth-best defensive rating of any team, with only a 103.6 points per game average by their opponents.
Domantas Sabonis has feasted off limited competition against a Jazz team without Rudy Gobert and a Brooklyn team without an interior presence. When he faced a similarly-stout Knicks team last Tuesday, Sabonis ended with just 27 points+rebounds+assists (PRA) in 39 minutes. This is a negative regression play, with Sabonis unlikely to continue his 80% (28-of-35) shooting from the field the past two games. I'm taking the under on this prop against a hot defensive team that is the NBA's sixth-best rebounding team on the season.
Risk: 1.02 units on FanDuel to win 1 unit. (Playable to -115)
For the most up-to-date picks check out my Twitter and subscribe to our Discord. This sheet from Dan Rivera tracks all my betting picks (and those from the rest of the betting staff) on the year. Just click on the tab with my name on it for the results.
This article is intended for entertainment purposes and adult users only. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem.
