Monday Night DFS Single Game Breakdown: Falcons at Packers

Oct 04, 2020

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Davante Adams logged on Monday morning and told us he won't suit up against Atlanta on Monday night, forcing a DFS single-contest analyst to rewrite his Monday night breakdown.

Adams being out creates absolute chaos for this single-contest slate. Let it wash over you.

Below is a breakdown of single-game DFS contests on FanDuel and DraftKings for the Week 4 Monday Night Football matchup. Constructing single-game lineups requires some imagination, especially for large-field tournament purposes.

We want to create a lineup that reflects a certain kind of game script, choosing players who would thrive—or at least have the chance to thrive—if their teams got out to a lead or were left chasing points in the second half. There’s also the neutral script that doesn't tend to inflate opportunity for any one player or team. Understanding the likelihood of each scenario and piecing together a roster that would score a bunch of points in such a scenario is key to success in these single-game contests.

Remember: For the captain spot on DraftKings, the price (and fantasy points awarded) are multiplied by 1.5. On FanDuel, the prices are the same throughout, but the MVP slot receives 1.5 times the fantasy point value of the other roster spots.

Vegas Spread And Total

The over-under for this game has surprisingly dropped by 1.5 points, and now sits at 56.5. The Packers are 6.5 point favorites with an implied total of 31.5 points. Atlanta has an implied total of 25. The game environment: it's good.