Monday Night DFS Single Game Breakdown: Bills at Patriots

Dec 28, 2020
Monday Night DFS Single Game Breakdown: Bills at Patriots

The TJ Hernand…I mean Josh Allen island game tour rolls on in the final game of the traditional fantasy football season tonight as Allen and the Buffalo Bills travel to Foxboro to take on the New England Patriots. The Patriots are playing for pride for the first time since I was legal to vote (and drive).

Buffalo has a chance to be the #2 seed in the AFC playoffs but cannot clinch it tonight, making the rest of the season fairly important for the Fightin’ Josh Allens. Have some fun with this game, folks. This is it for season-long fantasy and is compelling from a single-game DFS standpoint.

It is vital to remember that single-game slates are not simply a “max salary, play as many big names as possible, and submit” format, especially in larger tournament fields. We need to identify players that can be pieces in their offense’s success, whether in the lead or trailing, as well as the players that could be focal points in a neutral game script. The ability to then take those players and identify which will succeed in the single-game format will put us in a better position to succeed as daily fantasy players.

Remember that the captain spot is different on DraftKings than on FanDuel. The captain spot on DraftKings delivers fantasy points and prices multiplied by 1.5. The MVP spot on FanDuel will score at the same rate but without the increased pricing for the player slot. All flex positions score normally.

Vegas Total and Spread

Buffalo is a 7-point road favorite in a game with a 46.5-point game total. The Bills have a 26.75-point implied team total, while the Patriots have an implied team total of 19.75 points.

Potential Game Flow Scenarios

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