He just barely made it, but Mike Evans extended his 1,000-yard streak again in 2020. Evans is the first player in NFL history to begin their career with seven straight 1,000-yard seasons. Not only that, but Evans set a career-high with 13 touchdowns last season, scoring in all but six games (and one of those games he played just 11 snaps). And despite a number of talented options in this Bucs offense, Evans still finished with over 100 targets (109). With Tom Brady returning, it’s hard to see Evans’ numbers falling off too much.
While Evans did set a career-high with 13 touchdowns last season, he also set some career lows. He had the fewest number of targets he’s seen in a season (6.8 per game) and had the lowest yards per game (62.9). Those numbers could take another hit in 2021 as the Bucs will have Antonio Brown for the full year (instead of half like last year), O.J. Howard is expected to return from injury and the team added Giovani Bernard. We also expect his touchdown pace to cool off, as we project he’ll finish closer to eight scores this season.
2021 Bottom Line
Evans is a top-tier receiving talent in the NFL, but this is an offense loaded with talent and targets will be hard to come by consistently. We saw that last year as Evans had four games (including the playoffs) with 10 yards or less. We still expect him to be a 1,000-yard receiver, making him a strong WR2 player. He’s being drafted around the 15th WR off the board, which is a fair value for Evans.