Lamar Jackson is coming off an incredible fantasy season. He led the league with 36 touchdown passes, while adding another seven on the ground. He only threw for 3,127 yards, but also set the record for rushing yards in a season by a quarterback with 1,206. Only five RUNNING BACKS ran for more yards than Jackson did in 2019. Jackson’s upside is tied to things staying largely the same as last year. He returns in the same offense, has a very good offensive line and has even more weapons to work with after the Ravens drafted running back J.K. Dobbins and wide receiver Devin Duvernay in the second and third round, respectively.
There are only two potential downsides to Jackson. The first is durability. While he’s been healthy thus far, he’s had 323 rushing attempts in his first two years in the league. That’s a lot of hits for a quarterback to sustain, although Jackson seems to make smart decisions on which hits to take and which ones to avoid. The other downside is any kind of reasonable regression. That kind of rushing production, as well as the 36/6 TD/Interception rate from last season, will be hard to replicate.
2020 Bottom Line
Jackson is one of the most dynamic players in football and was a straight-up fantasy monster in 2019. There are smatterings of NFL analysts who have called Jackson’s rushing production unsustainable for the past two years, but at some point, we have to believe offensive coordinator Greg Roman is just going to let him run. The team has been constructed around what he does best and until they do something different or his body shows concrete signs of wearing down, fantasy owners shouldn’t hesitate to make him at least one of the top two quarterbacks on draft boards.