6 Fantasy Football WRs Whose Touchdowns Are Trending Up & Down
In this third installment of the touchdown trends series here at 4for4, we'll be taking a look at the wide receiver position. Last year's iteration of this piece was a smashing success. Chris Godwin was on pace for 12 scores before injury derailed his season, and both Garrett Wilson and Drake London more than doubled their 2023 touchdown totals in 2024. Meanwhile, while Courtland Sutton was still effective, he regressed slightly in the scoring department, while Tank Dell found the paint just three times in 14 games played.
More Outlier TD Pieces: RB | QB | TE
As always, the data isn't prophetic — and interpreting it isn't a perfect science — but there's clearly merit in the investigation. As a reminder, similar to the RB article earlier this month, the strategy is to evaluate touchdown rates (per target) from various field positions and to spotlight the outlier players on both sides of the sample. Here's a look at the data from the last ten years to set a baseline.
| Line of Scrimmage | TD Rate, Targets |
|---|---|
| Ten Zone (Opponent 1-10) | 36.80% |
| Red Zone (Opponent 1-19) | 25.70% |
| Opponent Territory (Opponent 1-49) | 10.40% |
| Midfield Plus (Own 1 - Midfield) | 0.90% |
| Total | 4.80% |
With all this math in mind, here are six names to note coming off last season's results and heading into 2025 fantasy drafts.
- All Premium Content
- The Most Accurate Rankings Since 2010
- Expert Draft Picks w/ Draft Hero
- Highest Scoring Lineup + Top Available Players w/ LeagueSync
- ...and much more!
