4 Fantasy Football TEs Whose Touchdowns Are Trending Up & Down

In this fourth and final installment of the touchdown trends series here at 4for4, we'll be taking a look at the tight end position. As always, the data isn't prophetic — and interpreting it isn't a perfect science — but there's merit in the investigation. Once again, similar to the WR article, the strategy is to evaluate touchdown rates (per target) from various field positions and to spotlight the outlier players on both sides of the sample. Here's a look at the data from the last ten years to set a baseline.
More Outlier TD Pieces: RB | QB | WR
Line of Scrimmage | TD Rate, Targets |
---|---|
Ten Zone (Opponent 1-10) | 42.6% |
Red Zone (Opponent 1-19) | 29.9% |
Opponent Territory (Opponent 1-49) | 12.0% |
Midfield Plus (Own 1 - Midfield) | 0.2% |
Total | 5.3% |
With all this math in mind, here are six names to note coming off last season's results and heading into 2025 fantasy drafts.

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