• Patrick Mahomes
  • QB
  • , Kansas City Chiefs
  • 24
  • 0 lbs
  • 0' 0"
PtsPaYdsPaTDIntRuYds
58.9821701

Week 3 Projection

  • Week 3 Projection
  • Dfs Projection
  • $7600
  • 24.65
  • 13
  • $9200
  • 23.75
  • 18
  • $38
  • 23.75
  • -
  • $13700
  • 24.65
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Draft note
by John Paulsen
All Mahomes did in his first season as the starter was post the greatest fantasy season in the history of the league. Sure, he’s bound to regress some, but he has room to regress and still be the fantasy QB1 in 2019. Other than Mahomes, there have been 15 seasons since 2000 where a quarterback has averaged 8.5+ yards per attempt on a minimum of 300 attempts. Collectively, those quarterbacks averaged 8.87 YPA. In the following season, they averaged 7.69 YPA, a 13.4% drop. Every single quarterback experienced regression, though some were more drastic than others. Mahomes’ situation (surrounding talent, coaching staff) haven’t changed, so he has a good chance to post another great fantasy season. It just may not be historic.

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Scouting report

by Jordan Heck

KC QB Patrick Mahomes - Week 3 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 3 at Baltimore Ravens

Patrick Mahomes didn't skip a beat from a year ago as he's still doing incredible things. Last week he threw for a ridiculous 443 yards and four touchdowns while still not throwing an interception on the season. Fun fact: Mahomes had more fantasy points in the second quarter of Week 2's game than Baker Mayfield, Derek Carr, Jameis Winston, Mitch Trubisky and Kirk Cousins have had all season.

He does face a tough Ravens defense this week. Baltimore has allowed the eighth-fewest fantasy points to QBs in 2019, giving up just one passing score in two games. But the matchup shouldn't worry you. Kyler Murray still threw for 300+ yards in Week 2 against Baltimore, he just didn't score. And Mahomes played well last season against the Ravens, finishing with 377 passing yards and two touchdowns (one interception). Mahomes is an easy must-start QB1.

2019 Strength of Schedule - KC
W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17
9
@JAX
23
@OAK
7
BAL
18
@DET
14
IND
30
HOU
6
@DEN
17
GB
8
MIN
11
@TEN
3
@LAC
BYE23
OAK
26
@NE
6
DEN
2
@CHI
3
LAC

Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.

2019 Game Stats
WkOppCompAttPaYdsPaTDIntYPAYPRRuAttYdsTDFumYPCPtsSnaps%
1@JAX25333783011.4515.1212002.0027.365/6895.6%
2@OAK30444434010.0714.771-101-1.0031.676/76100.0%
Per game27.5038.50410.503.50010.6614.931.000.5000.500.5029.4770.50/72.0097.80%
Totals55778217010.6614.9321010.5058.94141/14497.80%
Previous Games vs. BAL
SeasonWkOppCompAttPaYdsPaTDIntYPAYPRRuAttYdsTDFumYPCPtsSnaps%
201814BAL3553377217.1110.772-300-1.5020.886/86100.00%
Average35.0053.00377.002.001.007.1110.772.00-3.000.000.00-1.5020.7886.00/86.00100.00%