• Patrick Mahomes
  • QB
  • , Kansas City Chiefs
  • 25
  • 0 lbs
  • 0' 0"
PtsPaYdsPaTDIntRuYds
2874031265218

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Draft note
by John Paulsen
All Mahomes did in his first season as the starter was post the greatest fantasy season in the history of the league. Sure, he’s bound to regress some, but he has room to regress and still be the fantasy QB1 in 2019. Other than Mahomes, there have been 15 seasons since 2000 where a quarterback has averaged 8.5+ yards per attempt on a minimum of 300 attempts. Collectively, those quarterbacks averaged 8.87 YPA. In the following season, they averaged 7.69 YPA, a 13.4% drop. Every single quarterback experienced regression, though some were more drastic than others. Mahomes’ situation (surrounding talent, coaching staff) haven’t changed, so he has a good chance to post another great fantasy season. It just may not be historic.

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Scouting report

by Jordan Heck

KC QB Patrick Mahomes - Week 17 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 17 vs. Los Angeles Chargers

Patrick Mahomes had a solid game last week, finishing with 251 passing yards and three touchdowns (one rushing, two passing). It's his sixth game this season with three or more touchdowns. He hasn't been quite as dominant as his 2018 season, but Mahomes has still been a productive QB1 in 2019. He does get a tough matchup this week against the Chargers, a team he struggled against earlier in the year (182 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT). Even though it's a bad matchup, Mahomes should still be viewed as a must-start QB1 given his ridiculous ceiling.

2019 Strength of Schedule - KC
W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17
18
@JAX
26
@OAK
1
BAL
30
@DET
20
IND
23
HOU
24
@DEN
9
GB
3
MIN
19
@TEN
7
@LAC
BYE26
OAK
10
@NE
24
DEN
8
@CHI
7
LAC

Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.

2019 Game Stats
WkOppCompAttPaYdsPaTDIntYPAYPRRuAttYdsTDFumYPCPtsSnaps%
1@JAX25333783011.4515.1212002.0027.359/6886.8%
2@OAK30444434010.0714.771-101-1.0031.676/76100.0%
3BAL27373743010.1113.8549002.2527.968/68100.0%
4@DET2442315007.5013.12654009.0018.070/70100.0%
5IND2239321108.2314.59317005.6718.563/63100.0%
6HOU1935273317.8014.371-101-1.0018.858/58100.0%
7@DEN101176106.917.6012002.007.220/6132.8%
8GB---------------
9MIN---------------
10@TEN3650446308.9212.390000-29.882/82100.0%
11@LAC1932182115.699.585590011.8015.268/68100.0%
12BYE---------------
13OAK1529175106.0311.67325108.3319.566/6798.5%
14@NE2640283117.0810.8866001.0013.978/78100.0%
15DEN27343402110.0012.59311003.6722.768/68100.0%
16@CHI2333251207.6110.91214107.0025.465/6698.5%
17LAC1625174116.9610.88721003.0011.150/50100.0%
Per game22.7934.57287.931.860.368.3312.643.0715.570.140.145.0720.5063.64/67.3694.04%
Totals31948440312658.3312.6443218225.07287.04891/94394.04%
Previous Games vs. SF
SeasonWkOppCompAttPaYdsPaTDIntYPAYPRRuAttYdsTDFumYPCPtsSnaps%
20183SF2438314308.2613.0857001.4025.376/76100.00%
Average24.0038.00314.003.000.008.2613.085.007.000.000.001.4025.2676.00/76.00100.00%