Raybon's Review: DFS Lessons Learned in Week 4

Raybon's Review: DFS Lessons Learned in Week 4

By Chris Raybon (Senior Daily Fantasy Expert), last update Oct 4, 2017

Chris Raybon's picture

Chris Raybon is the Senior Daily Fantasy Editor at 4for4 Fantasy Football.

Follow Chris Raybon on Twitter: @ChrisRaybon.

Analyzing last week's results is one of the best investments of time you can make as a DFS player. Here I analyze winning lineups, low-owned players, and other notable Week 4 takeaways that can be used to gain an edge going forward.

DraftKings Millionaire Maker Week 4 Winning Lineup Review

Screen Shot 2017-10-04 at 10.38.56 AM.png

RKennedy23 employed a few different stacking and player selection methods that frequent readers will be highly familiar with. For one, he used multiple players from two teams that greatly exceed their implied team totals: the Bengals (22.5) and Panthers (19.25). Implied team totals (and over/unders) are essentially a 50/50 proposition; on average, a team that exceeds its implied total will do so by 7 points and vice-versa. Also note that the Bengals stack of A.J. Green and Tyler Kroft was used without Andy Dalton, who ended up scoring 7.7 points less than Cam Newton. Not limiting yourself to only QB-WR stacks is generally a strategy that pays off. Another type of stack employed in this lineup was a game stack of Leonard Fournette and Bilal Powell. Overall, opposing running backs are negatively correlated because one will be in negative game script more often than not, but in a close game where both running backs are main cogs in their offense, it becomes viable. Albeit more expensive, Todd Gurley and Ezekiel Elliott was another opposing RB stack that would have paid off last week.

If you were one of the 97.3% who didn’t own QB Cam Newton, how could you have landed on him?

4for4 DFS Subscription Content

There's more, but it's available only for 4for4 DFS subscribers.

Subscribe Now - Get all the 4for4 DFS Content

If you are a current subscriber, please login here

Filed Under:
w5
,
2017

We are your friend's secret weapon.

  • Get 4 FREE downloads
  • Receive breaking news alerts & analysis
  • BONUS: Learn how to play DFS.
  • Battle-Tested by 40,000+ fantasy football diehards since 1999.