Splash Sports Survivor Picks Week 10: Circa Survivor & NFL Pool Plays (Jaguars over Titans)

It was a pretty chalky Week 9 as all three of my picks hit, along with the majority of the public's. This week we have a few at the top and a bunch of not-so-much plays after that.

We have the assistance of Sharpstack's EV Tool to guide us through this process, highlighting the win percentages of each NFL team and the optimal path, plus the option of a custom one if you are feeling it.

Here's a look at the whole board for Week 10, and I'll get into my favorite picks and traps below.

Favorite Favorites

Jaguars @ Titans (-10.5)

With a 78.3% win percentage, the Jags are the safest play on the board this week and the top EV selection in any pool. This contest is their best remaining one, too, so there's no need to save Jacksonville for an upcoming contest.

Rams @ Cardinals (-9.5)

We've been saving LA for this very week, and even though your first thought might be, "Hey, but they are injured", trust me, Arizona has it way worse. This is their starting offense heading into Week 10.

The Rest Worth Looking at

• Bills @ Jets (-8.5)
• Ravens vs. Chargers (-4.5)

Traps (who are favorites)

Lions vs. Patriots in Munich (-2.5)

The international games are tricky to call sometimes, and both of these teams have better contests ahead. (Detroit Week 14 vs. Tennessee and New England Week 18 against Miami).

Chiefs @ Falcons ( −3.5)

This game is 60% for KC, and their best week is next week against the Cardinals. They are too risky in this spot for me.

Teams Worth Saving

• Kansas City — Week 11 vs. Arizona (6.46 future value)
• Buffalo — Week 11 vs. Miami (6.45 future value)
• San Francisco — Week 18 at Arizona (6.16 future value)
• New England — Week 18 vs. Miami (5.19 future value)
• Denver — Week 13 vs. Miami (4.64 future value)