Week 7 NFL Player Prop Bets: Best Bets from Connor Allen

Oct 17, 2025
Week 7 NFL Player Prop Bets: Best Bets from Connor Allen

After another profitable week, we’ve now stacked back-to-back winning weeks — and that’s how you build momentum in this game. Last week’s reads were sharp, and the goal now is to keep compounding those edges as we head into Week 7.

Week 7 NFL Player Prop Bets

Justin Herbert over 23.5 completions (-114 FD, -116 Builder, WA otherwise)

Herbert and the Chargers have quietly become one of the most pass-centric teams in football since losing two starting offensive linemen and both Najee and Hampton. The injuries have forced them away from a run-heavy approach and into a quick-strike passing game built around high-percentage throws. Last week against Miami, Herbert completed 29-of-38 passes in a game where the Dolphins pushed them into higher volume. We should see a similar dynamic here against Indianapolis — one of the most aggressive offenses in the league — especially with the Colts missing multiple starters in their secondary. Indianapolis has driven massive opponent passing volume recently, allowing 44, 36, 41, and 38 attempts over their last four games. The only quarterback not to clear 23 completions in that span was Cam Ward, who finished with exactly 23. Herbert’s arm talent and tempo give him a great chance to continue that trend.

Risk 1.14 units to win 1 unit


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