NBA Player Prop Bets: Cam I Am
Tonight, we get a massive 13-game slate of NBA games coming off a bleak 3-game slate yesterday, where we saw the San Antonio Spurs literally rip a win away from the Phoenix Suns in the final seconds. In what was expected to be a blowout, we actually got a scrappy match from the Spurs, who just simply out-hustled the Suns for the victory. Tonight, we have lots of injury decision points and await some clarity on multiple players listed as questionable, or uncertain.
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November 1st NBA Player Prop Bets
Last night was another solid night for our subscribers, with all three of my official plays hitting, including two plus-money straight bets, giving subscribers a net +3 units. Tonight, will be critical to follow the news up to tip off with lots of potential opportunities opening up. Here are a few plays I am looking at for tonight. Join the Discord for the most up-to-date information as the news unfolds.
Cam Thomas (BKN) Over 24.5 Points (-125 DK)
With the injury to Cameron Johnson, Cam Thomas has been on fire in his last three games, scoring 33, 30, and 36 points in consecutive games. This line of 24.5 is too low and not adjusting fast enough to the reality of his all-star caliber play. He is shooting 60+% from the floor and averaging 35 minutes per game as a starter.
I would play this up to 26.5 points at -125.
Risk: 1.25 units to win 1 unit
Scottie Barnes (TOR) Over 17.5 Points (-120 Bet365)
Barnes' line opened the season at 15.5; in three games so far this season, Barnes has scored more than 20 points in each game. Books have not adjusted to multiple players' current season roles.
Barnes' usage is up 4.1% from this season from last season. His 20.0% usage last season was the 5th highest usage on his team. This season, although through only 3 games, Barnes' usage is up to 24.1% and leads the Raptors in usage. This is his team now. Books haven't adjusted because it is statistically not enough games. This is our edge. Barnes is going to increase his efficiency throughout the season and continue to improve his game. His line should be 20.5.
The other side of this is that the books haven't adjusted to the Bucks' defense, no longer being elite without Jrue Holiday. Through 3 games, the Bucks have allowed the 5th most points to opposing teams, and they are 3rd in Pace. This isn't last year's Bucks. I want to emphasize, this isn't simply reacting to his three games. I was on Barnes before the season started (Most Improved Player Future bet placed before the season), and he had shown this uptick in play during the preseason. No doubt he will have down games, but give me the lower line while it lasts.
Risk: 1.2 units to win 1 unit.
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