Week 11 NFL Player Props: Best Player Props to Bet from Connor Allen

Nov 17, 2023

Sam Greene/The Enquirer / USA TODAY NETWORK

Week 10 Review: The last two weeks have not been pretty but it's not the end of the world. We are still up 14.46 units on the season and are just running into some negative variance. Breece Hall and the Jets couldn’t find any room on the ground, which busted our over and ladders. DK Metcalf fell two yards short of his 100+ ladder, and while we were still profitable, it could have been a much bigger hit. Austin Ekeler busted our longest rush under 12.5 yards after he got a random option pitch on the edge and flanked the run defense for 17 yards. It was a weird week but I am very ready to get after it in Week 11.

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Week 11 Player Prop Bets

Joe Burrow (CIN) under 258.5 passing yards (-115 Bet365)

This is also widely available. The Ravens' defense has been stellar this season, ranking 2nd in EPA per dropback, 3rd in passing success rate allowed, and the lowest yards per pass attempt allowed in the league at 4.7.

They have only allowed one quarterback to throw for more than 250 passing yards this season, and it was Jared Goff and the Lions who racked up 58 dropbacks due to immense negative game script.

The Ravens held Burrow to 220 passing yards in their first meeting, but since then, a few things have changed. Burrow is healthier, but Tee Higgins is likely out. Mike Macdonald took over as DC last season and has played the Bengals extremely passively in the four prior games, including minimal blitzing and tons of safety help. Burrow has averaged just 5.8 yards per attempt against the Ravens in those games.

In a tough matchup, likely without one of his top wideouts, I like this under a good bit. It probably won't get there, but I would play it down to 250.

Risk 1.15 units to win 1 unit