Week 18 NFL Betting Picks: Team and Game Totals

Jan 07, 2022

Photo by Adam Glanzman/Getty Images

We're nearing the finish line of what I can confirm is the longest season of all time, but the picks will continue all the way through the Super Bowl, so stick around.

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Whenever possible, lean into situation-adjusted stats over raw counting stats. Utilize metrics like success rate and explosive play rates over total yards and points against. In this space, I'll continue to focus on what I think is the biggest inefficiency in the market, and that's individual team totals. With so many unknowns on the slate this week, I think focusing on spots where we know both clubs are going all-out is the ideal approach.

*Betting lines accurate at the time of publication.