2021 PGA Tour Championship Betting Card Preview

Sep 01, 2021
2021 PGA Tour Championship Betting Card Preview

The PGA Tour season and FedEx Cup Playoffs come to an end this week in Atlanta at East Lake Golf Club. There are two markets for this event, which makes watching and handicapping it quite different than most weeks.

We've seen a plethora of formats to properly award an end-of-the-year champion on the PGA Tour. I don't want to rip on the current design without presenting a better solution to fixing it, because I don't have one. I'll just say I don't really like it.

The starting stroke index, which alters each players' starting score based on their current FedEx Cup standings, ensures that come Sunday afternoon, we have just one winner at East Lake. Most sportsbooks will allow us to bet on that staggered scoring outcome, along with your typical, everyone-starts-at-zero market as well. Here's how things will start:

Starting Stroke Index
10 under
Patrick Cantlay
8 under Tony Finau
7 under
Bryson DeChambeau
6 under Jon Rahm
5 under
Cameron Smith
4 under
Justin Thomas, Harris English, Abraham Ancer, Jordan Spieth, Sam Burns
3 under
Collin Morikawa, Sungjae Im, Viktor Hovland, Louis Oosthuizen, Dustin Johnson
2 under
Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele, Jason Kokrak, Kevin Na, Brooks Koepka
1 under
Corey Conners, Hideki Matsuyama, Stewart Cink, Joaquin Niemann, Scottie Scheffler,
Even par
Daniel Berger, Erik van Rooyen, Sergio Garcia, Billy Horschel, Patrick Reed

East Lake puts a premium on ball-striking and accuracy off the tee, a drastic pivot from last week's bomb-and-gauge affair at Caves Valley. Nine of the past 13 winners at East Lake finished inside the top 10 in fairways hit for the week. This 7,400-yard, Par-70 track forces more long irons on approach than your standard tour stop, and with only two par-5's on the course, including the finishing hole at 18, scoring opportunities are at a premium this week. The Bermudagrass greens are traditionally fast here, so proximity on approach is vital to one's success.

Corollary Courses:

  • TPC River Highlands
  • Aronimink Golf Club

Player Profile for the week:

  • Driving Accuracy
  • Driving Distance
  • Adjusted-SG: APP
  • Bermudagrass-positive putting

Outright Betting Selections (With Staggered Scoring Index)

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