Thursday Night DFS Single Game Breakdown: Broncos at Jets

Sep 30, 2020

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The universe's eternal balancing act means we get the Jets and Broncos three days after we got the Chiefs and Ravens. For every ying, a yang. For every inflated over-under, a deflated over-under. So it goes.

If you enjoy a bit of chaos—and I am an unapologetic fan of fantasy football chaos—Thursday's nightmare matchup between two teams whose season are already dead might be, well, fun. Not the precision-passing, dazzling-display-of-execution kind of fun. But down-in-the-muck sort of fun. Like wrestling in the mud with a feral hog. That sort of fun.

Below is a breakdown of single-game DFS contests on FanDuel and DraftKings for the Week 4 Thursday Night Football matchup. Constructing single-game lineups requires some imagination, especially for large-field tournament purposes.

We want to create a lineup that reflects a certain kind of game script, choosing players who would thrive—or at least have the chance to thrive—if their teams got out to a lead or were left chasing points in the second half. There’s also the neutral script that doesn't tend to inflate opportunity for any one player or team. Understanding the likelihood of each scenario and piecing together a roster that would score a bunch of points in such a scenario is key to success in these single-game contests.

Remember: For the captain spot on DraftKings, the price (and fantasy points awarded) are multiplied by 1.5. On FanDuel, the prices are the same throughout, but the MVP slot receives 1.5 times the fantasy point value of the other roster spots.

Vegas Spread And Total

We've landed on a game with the rare over-under of less than 40 points. Yes, we have a 39 point total in this one, as of Wednesday afternoon. Denver is a one-point favorite with an implied total of 20 points. The Jets, meanwhile, have a 19-point implied total. Hello, darkness, my old friend.