Thursday Night DFS Single Game Breakdown: Colts at Titans

Nov 12, 2020
Thursday Night DFS Single Game Breakdown: Colts at Titans

Thursday night features two teams that would love to dominate opponents with the most high-testosterone, run-heavy offense known to humankind.

One team—the Titans—doesn't need to run such an offense because, turns out, they have a pretty good quarterback and what might be a generational wide receiver talent. The other team—the Colts—can't run their preferred offense because opponents aren't threatened by their QB and pass catchers, and their running backs sorta suck.

Let's see what we can make of Titans-Colts single game lineups.

Below is a breakdown of single-game DFS contests on FanDuel and DraftKings for the Week 10 Thursday Night Football matchup. Constructing single-game lineups requires some imagination, especially for large-field tournament purposes.

We want to create a lineup that reflects a certain kind of game script, choosing players who would thrive—or at least have the chance to thrive—if their teams got out to a lead or were left chasing points in the second half. There’s also the neutral script that doesn't tend to inflate opportunity for any one player or team. Understanding the likelihood of each scenario and piecing together a roster that would score a bunch of points in such a scenario is key to success in these single-game contests.

Remember: For the captain spot on DraftKings, the price (and fantasy points awarded) are multiplied by 1.5. On FanDuel, the prices are the same throughout, but the MVP slot receives 1.5 times the fantasy point value of the other roster spots.

Vegas Spread And Total

This game has a 49-point over/under. The favorite Titans have an implied total of 25.5 points, which started the week at 26.5. The Colts, two-point dogs, have a 23.5 point implied total. Tennesee has allowed more than 23 points in five of its eight games this season, one of those teams being the Bears, who maybe shouldn't count.

Potential Game Flow Scenarios

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