DFS Projected Ownership Analysis: Week 11

Nov 14, 2019
DFS Projected Ownership Analysis: Week 11

Leveraging ownership percentages is a crucial aspect of creating tournament lineups. In this article, I use the 4for4 metric GPP Leverage Scores to highlight players whose projected ownership is either too high or too low. You can get a complete explanation of how the metric works here, but in short, the leverage score takes projected ownership and compares it to an implied ownership. The projected ownership is the prediction of what percentage of lineups a particular player will be owned in. A player’s implied ownership is 4for4’s recommended ownership based on salary, point projection and positional scarcity, among other factors. Comparing the two ownership percentages can highlight players who 4for4 projections are higher or lower on relative to the field. Note that every position may not be included in each section.

Players to Be Overweight On

QB Ryan Finley ($6,300 FD/$5,000 DK) @ Raiders

The great thing about a play like Finley is that you only need four or five shares out of 100 lineups to be overweight on the field. His cheap price tag will allow owners to load up on skill-position studs while other owners are looking for value there. No team has allowed higher fantasy efficiency on a per attempt basis than the Raiders. While we usually don’t want our quarterbacks throwing in a horribly negative game script—the Bengals are 10.5-point road dogs—Oakland ranks near the bottom of the league in sack rate, alleviating some concern of Finley dropping back while the Raiders can “pin their ears back”.

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