Kadarius Toney
  • Kadarius Toney

  • WR
  • , Kansas City Chiefs
  • 25
  • 193 lbs
  • 6' 0"
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Scouting report

by Jordan Heck

KC WR Kadarius Toney - Week 2 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 2 at Jacksonville Jaguars

Kadarius Toney had a rough Week 1. He saw a team-high (tied) five targets, but only finished with one catch for one yard as he had three brutal drops. He also had a rushing attempt that lost a yards. His PFF grade was the worst single-game grade given to a WR since 2018. While his receiving stats were upsetting, his lack of playing time was also notable. Toney only played on 25% of the Chiefs' offensive snaps, which was sixth amongst the Chiefs' WRs. The numbers are concerning for Toney, and he's only really worth playing in deeper leagues. He's nearing WR5 territory for Week 2 against the Jaguars.

by Jordan Heck

KC WR Kadarius Toney - Week 1 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 1 vs. Detroit Lions

Kadarius Toney has been sidelined for most of training camp and the preseason due to a knee injury, but he's "good to go" for Week 1, according to coach Andy Reid. Toney had some moments of brilliance last season in his first year with the Chiefs. But he also had one reception or less in five of his 10 games. We'll see if Toney can be more consistent with his production as he faces the Lions in Week 1. It's a favorable matchup as the Lions gave up the 3rd-most average fantasy points to wide receivers a season ago. Toney also could see more targets if Travis Kelce is ruled out with his knee injury. Having said all that, this Chiefs WR group is a mess of names and it's hard to tell who will be the breakout star in the group. Toney should be viewed in the WR3 range to start the season.

by Jordan Heck

KC WR Kadarius Toney - 2023 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside
The Chiefs traded for Kadarius Toney midway through last season, and he got everyone excited with a 90-yard performance in Week 10. Toney suffered an injury, but when he returned he had some impressive moments including two touchdowns, a 70-yard performance, and a pair of Super Bowl touchdowns including a punt return. Toney should see a larger role in 2023 as the Chiefs lost JuJu Smith-Schuster and Mecole Hardman this offseason. Granted he’s only headed into his third season, but our projections are predicting a career season for Toney. He’ll be a starting wideout in one of the highest-powered offenses in the league. He also offers value as a rushing threat and he saw six carries in limited playing time with the Chiefs last season.

Fantasy Downside
While Toney had flashes of excellent play, he wasn’t very consistent. In the 10 games he played with the Chiefs, he had one reception or less in five of them. Toney has also had career-long injury problems, which is why the Giants parted ways with him in the first place. We’ve never fully seen Toney put together a good season, even though his talent is undeniable. The Chiefs also have a very spread out offense with weapons like Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Skyy Moore, rookie Rashee Rice, Travis Kelce, Jerick McKinnon, and more. Targets will be hard to come by in this offense.

2023 Bottom Line
The Chiefs could finish with the most passing yards in the league again this season, which sounds positive for Toney. But part of what makes this offense perform so well is the variety of options. Toney will likely see more targets than the other options, but our projections have him finishing below 600 receiving yards. Toney’s talent paired with Patrick Mahomes’ arm gives him a high ceiling entering 2023, but we need to actually see the production before he becomes a valuable fantasy asset. Heading into the season, Toney should be viewed around the WR40 range.

by Jordan Heck

KC WR Kadarius Toney - Week 17 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 17 vs. Denver Broncos

Kadarius Toney emerged from the shadows last week to catch a touchdown. Although that's all he did as he finished with just the one catch for eight yards on two targets. Toney did see a bump in playing time, though, playing on 30% of the offensive snaps after seeing just 6% the week prior. Toney offered some excitement at one point in the season, but he's way too hard to trust in Week 17 against the Broncos. He should be off the fantasy radar unless you play in a very deep league.

by Jordan Heck

KC WR Kadarius Toney - Week 16 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 16 vs. Seattle Seahawks

Kadarius Toney bounced back from injury last week, but he didn't do a whole lot. He only played on five offensive snaps (6%), catching one pass for five yards. He also returned two punts for eight yards. Toney showed some promise back in Week 10, but he's a pretty risky option at this point in the season. Plus, he gets a bad matchup against the Seahawks in Week 16. We'd likely avoid Toney this week.

by Jordan Heck

KC WR Kadarius Toney - Week 11 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 11 at Los Angeles Chargers

It only took two games with the Chiefs before Kadarius Toney had his breakout game. Toney caught four passes for 57 yards and a touchdown on five targets. He also had two carries for 33 yards and has even taken over punt return duties for the Chiefs. Toney benefitted from the absences of Mecole Hardman (inactive) and JuJu Smith-Schuster (left mid-game) and took the most of his opportunity. Hardman has since been placed on IR, and Smith-Schuster remains in the concussion protocol and appears headed towards an inactive tag for Week 11, which will once again open up the door for more touches for Toney. The Chargers are an OK matchup (13th aFPA), so we'd expect Toney to have solid production this week. He should be viewed as as a WR2 play.

by Jordan Heck

KC WR Kadarius Toney - Week 10 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 10 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

As expected, Kadarius Toney was on a snap count in his Chiefs debut as the new arrival continues to learn the offense. The Chiefs ran 100 offensive plays in Week 9, and Toney was only out there for nine of them. He saw two targets in his nine snaps, catching both for 12 yards. Toney is an exciting player, but until he sees some real playing time, we'd continue to leave him benched. Toney could become an interesting option if Mecole Hardman (abdomen) ends up missing action in Week 10.

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