• Henry Ruggs

  • WR
  • , Las Vegas Raiders
  • 21
  • 0 lbs
  • 0' 0"
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Draft note
by John Paulsen
The Raiders made Ruggs the first receiver off the board, filling a need at receiver that was obvious last season. Tight end Darren Waller easily led the team in receiving yards (1,145), nearly doubling up Tyrell Williams (651) in both yards and targets. Williams got off to a fairly hot start, catching a touchdown in each of his first five games, but he struggled with a foot injury for most of the year. Ruggs brings blazing 4.27 speed and surprisingly good route-running (per Reception Perception creator Matt Harmon) and should see starter’s snaps from day one. Since 2000, the first receiver drafted has averaged 44.7 catches for 618 yards and 4.1 touchdowns, or 8.0 half-PPR fantasy points per game. Since 2010, those numbers have been slightly better (49.6-684-4.2, 8.2 PPG). Both averages equate to fantasy WR4 numbers though there have been exceptions on both ends of the spectrum. In fact, the Raiders made both Amari Cooper (11.2 PPG) and Darrius Heyward-Bey (2.1 PPG) the first receiver drafted, which just goes to show the range of outcomes.

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Scouting report

by Brandon Niles

LV WR Henry Ruggs - 2020 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside

Henry Ruggs is the fastest rookie this season, and that speed showed up both on tape and at the combine, where he ran a 4.27-second 40-yard-dash. Ruggs is more than a speed demon however, exhibiting great hands and decent route-running. He can stop-and-start on a dime and is experienced going against top corners, due to opposing defenses choosing to play more man against Ruggs, while double-teaming Jerry Jeudy. He’ll join a Raiders team with a strong offensive line and a head coach who likes to run the ball and throw deep. Derek Carr was actually 16th in the league last season in Air Yards, according to Sports Info Solutions, and that was with limited downfield options. There’s potential for Ruggs to seize the WR1 job immediately in Las Vegas.

Fantasy Downside

Ruggs doesn’t use his slight frame well enough to wall off defenders, often just blowing by instead, which could be a problem for him if he wants to be the primary target instead of just a field-stretcher. The Raiders also prefer a ground-and-pound approach. They ranked 21st in pass attempts last season and 11th in rushing attempts. While they do like to throw deep, which should give Ruggs plenty of opportunities for big plays, he may not get the target share to become a super consistent fantasy option at the top end of drafts.

2020 Bottom Line

Ultimately, Ruggs’ speed, playmaking and excellent hands should make him a success at the next level, but he’ll need to be a true WR1 if he’s going to be a fantasy stud. Jon Gruden offenses have rarely produced an elite fantasy wide receiver and even more scarcely multiple options. As such, it’s risky to bank on him over some of the other options being drafted near his 11th-round ADP. However, if he slips to the back end of the draft instead of the deep-middle, he’s worth grabbing due to his likely position atop the depth chart.

2020 Strength of Schedule - LV

W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17
14
@CAR
20
NO
1
@NE
2
BUF
5
@KC
BYE29
TB
12
@CLE
4
@LAC
13
DEN
5
KC
21
@ATL
28
@NYJ
18
IND
4
LAC
31
MIA
13
@DEN

Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.

2019 Game Stats

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