Derrick Henry
  • Derrick Henry

  • RB
  • , Baltimore Ravens
  • 30
  • 247 lbs
  • 6' 3"
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Scouting report

by Spencer Babbitt

TEN RB Derrick Henry - Week 2 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 2 vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Derrick Henry's Week 1 performance looks fine on paper. He logged 119 total yards on 17 touches (15 carries and two receptions), but backup Tyjae Spears actually out-snapped Henry 34 to 30. Spears played every third down for the Titans and siphoned off four of Ryan Tannehill's targets on the day. Some of Spears' usage can be attributed to game script as the Titans were trailing most of the game, leading to more passing situations for the Tennessee offense. That being said, it appears clear that Henry will not play on many third downs this season, which severely caps his pass catching upside. Henry remains a good bet for great rushing volume, but Week 1 showed that he is still somewhat game script dependent with a limited role in the passing game. Henry remains a RB1 for Week 2 against the Chargers, but he will need some systemic improvement from Tannehill and the offense as a whole to reach his ceiling.

by Spencer Babbitt

TEN RB Derrick Henry - Week 1 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 1 at New Orleans Saints
Coming off a season where he racked up 1,538 rushing yards and 13 rushing touchdowns on 349 carries, Derrick Henry will start off 2023 against the New Orleans Saints, a team that finished near the middle of the pack in fantasy points allowed to opposing running backs last season. Henry should easily clear 300 touches again this season presuming he stays healthy, and he projects for the biggest rushing workload of any running back for Sunday's matchup. He remains a great bet for 20+ carries against the Saints, and it will be interesting to see how many looks he receives in the passing game now that Ryan Tannehill is back under center. Henry will have easier matchups in the future, but he remains an easy RB1 to kick off the 2023 fantasy season.

by Spencer Babbitt

TEN RB Derrick Henry - 2023 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside
With Tennessee's offensive infrastructure collapsing around him throughout 2022, Derrick Henry still managed to finish as a top-five RB in fantasy by amassing 1,936 total yards and 13 touchdowns on a robust 349 touches. Henry remains one of the few running backs left in the NFL who is his team's offensive focal point and unquestioned workhorse. Ryan Tannehill is back under center to start the 2023 season, which can only help Henry's efficiency as the Titans posed virtually no threat through the air with Malik Willis and Josh Dobbs starting. One bright spot from last season was Henry's 33 receptions for 398 receiving yards, both career-highs for him. We will have to see if Henry's recent bump in receiving usage continues with Tannehill starting again, but if it does, it would only reinforce his already strong floor. Henry will once again be a strong bet to lead the league in carries and rushing yards, and is a virtual lock for 300+ touches if he plays a full season. As usual, Henry projects as a solid RB1 option for fantasy.

Fantasy Downside
Henry will turn 30 years old in January and is rapidly approaching the point in his career when RBs tend to suffer a big drop in production. Henry's advanced metrics show declining efficiency last year, although some of that can probably be attributed to the disastrous offense surrounding him for stretches. Henry's 5.1 yards per touch was only good for 23rd amongst RBs, and that was with him still managing to break the fifth-most tackles of anyone at the position. Henry lived on volume more than ever in 2022, and while he remains a great bet to see a ton of carries, the risk in taking him as your RB1 rises when he is not breaking as many long runs. Henry is one of the most athletically gifted players in the NFL, but his eventual decline is inevitable and may have already started.

2023 Bottom Line
Henry still projects for one of the league's best workloads at the RB position and will post massive numbers with even average efficiency if he stays healthy for 17 games. The fact that the Titans signed DeAndre Hopkins is a great sign for Henry as it now appears unlikely the Titans bench Tannehill for rookie Will Levis this year. Henry's uncertain passing game role keeps him from the elite tier of fantasy backs, but he's still a surefire RB1 and second round pick.

by Spencer Babbitt

TEN RB Derrick Henry - Week 17 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 17 vs. Dallas Cowboys
Derrick Henry's status for Thursday night's game against the Cowboys is up in the air due to his hip issue after Henry was listed as a non-participant in practice on Monday. Henry did appear to get some limited reps in practice on Tuesday, and told reporters afterward that he would be ready to play. We likely won't have any clarity on Henry's status until Wednesday's injury report at the earliest, and it's possible this ends up as a dreaded "game-time decision" situation for a Thursday night game. If he suits up, Henry is, as usual, a clear RB1 despite a difficult Week 17 matchup coming off a game where he logged 126 rushing yards and a touchdown on 23 carries against the Texans. If he doesn't suit up for Thursday, it appears that Hassan Haskins and Julius Chestnut will absorb his workload in the backfield. Henry is a surefire starter regardless of matchup when healthy, but fantasy managers could have to monitor the latest news out of Tennessee's camp all the way up until inactives are announced Thursday evening.

by Spencer Babbitt

TEN RB Derrick Henry - Week 16 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 16 vs. Houston Texans
Derrick Henry should be in store for all the work he can handle in Week 16 against the Texans' atrocious run defense with Ryan Tannehill injured and rookie Malik Willis likely to start under center. The Titans did not pass the ball more than 16 times in either of Willis' other two starts this season, and Henry saw a total of 49 carries in those games while racking up 343 rushing yards. Henry is already one of the league's best bets to see 20 touches at the running back position, but with a mouth-watering matchup on deck and Willis starting this week, he has a limitless ceiling for fantasy. Henry is our top-ranked running back play this week, even in PPR formats.

by Spencer Babbitt

TEN RB Derrick Henry - Week 15 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 15 at Los Angeles Chargers
Derrick Henry returned to the RB1 ranks in Week 14 when he logged 155 total yards and a rushing touchdown on 20 touches (17 carries and three catches). Henry ranks fourth at his position in fantasy points per game through 14 weeks, and now gets a Chargers defense that is just below average in suppressing the fantasy production of opposing running backs. Henry remains a great bet to log 20 touches this week and will have a great chance to find the end zone as the centerpiece of the Titans' offensive philosophy. Henry is once again a strong RB1 as we head into the fantasy playoffs.

by Spencer Babbitt

TEN RB Derrick Henry - Week 14 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 14 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
As can happen with Derrick Henry, he was game-scripted out of a large role with the Titans trailing the Eagles virtually the entire game in Week 13. Henry has some of fantasy's best usage for any player except in one scenario: the Titans falling behind early and being forced to pass. That is unlikely to happen in Week 14 when the Titans host the Jaguars' below-average run defense, meaning Henry is set up for his typical huge workload. Even with some slow weeks mixed in along the way, Henry leads the NFL in carries, is third in rushing, and has 10 touchdowns on the year. He is a surefire starter and clear RB1 in Week 14.

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