A.J. Dillon Fantasy Football Week 0 Scouting Report

A.J. Dillon
RB
, Green Bay Packers

Age: 26
Weight: 247 lbs
Height: 6' 0"

ADP: 159
Depth Chart Ranking: 2

Pts	RuYds	RuTD	Rec	RecYds
96	613	2	22	223

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Scouting report

by Brendan Darr

· Oct 20, 2023 · 6:20 PM EDT

GB RB A.J. Dillon - Week 7 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 7 at Denver Broncos/strong>

AJ Dillon has struggled mightily as the main back for the Packers without Aaron Jones. Unfortunately, you drafted him for this exact scenario and he didn't deliver at all.

While Dillon projects as a potential flex play with an incredible matchup, I would be quite hesitant to put him in. If you're in a pinch -- say you lost Kyren Williams and don't have a ton of depth, I get it -- but if you can avoid counting on Dillon I would look elsewhere if anything close to a comparable player is available.

by Brendan Darr

· Sep 22, 2023 · 11:31 AM EDT

GB RB A.J. Dillon - Week 3 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 3 vs. New Orleans Saints

A.J. Dillon flopped with Aaron Jones out last week. Dillon may be a player better suited to his short-yardage role than a featured back role. Things don't get any easier this week against the Saints defense. Assuming Jones is out, Dillon likely won't see as much passing down work with Patrick Taylor working in and won't see any of the 2-minute or 4-minute work either. However, he still has a command of the goal-line work which buoys his fantasy viability.

Assuming Jones is out, Dillon is on the back end of Flex territory and is a questionable, at best, start this week. If Jones somehow gets ruled in, Dillon heads back to the bench. Stay tuned for updates after the Friday injury report is released.

by Brendan Darr

· Sep 15, 2023 · 1:50 PM EDT

GB RB A.J. Dillon - Week 2 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 2 at Atlanta Falcons

A.J. Dillon could be in line for a massive workload this week if Aaron Jones were to miss this weekend, but should be startable even if Jones is healthy. In Week 1, per SIS, Dillon out-carried Jones 3-to-1 inside the 10, but Jones was able to convert on his one carry for a touchdown while Dillon was unable to find the end zone.

Dillon is a touchdown-reliant flex option this week, with the ceiling for a bigger week if Jones were to miss the game against Atlanta. The slower-paced game is a bit of a worry, but he can overcome that by converting in the red zone this week.

by Brendan Darr

· Sep 08, 2023 · 11:25 AM EDT

GB RB A.J. Dillon - Week 1 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 1 at Chicago Bears

No player on the Packers is more influenced by the game script than A.J. Dillon. If the Packers are ahead and moving the football, Dillon could score a touchdown and have enough on the ground to be in the RB2/Flex conversation. He will cede the passing-down and hurry-up work to Aaron Jones if the Packers fall behind the Bears, but it's also possible the Packers try to control the clock on the ground with their talented 1-2 punch. He's worthy of Flex consideration, but the upside could be limited if the Packers fall behind early.

by Brendan Darr

· Jul 25, 2023 · 1:20 PM EDT

GB RB A.J. Dillon - 2023 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside
Like a lot of the Packers' skill players, AJ Dillon relies on efficiency. His efficiency mostly happens at the goal line, but he’s also a player with an exceptionally high first-down rate (25.3%, fifth in the NFL). He also rarely gets stopped at the line and despite being a bigger guy, he still commands 2.5 targets a game despite sharing the backfield with Aaron Jones. Dillon’s upside comes from being in offense with a great offensive mind and while the Packers will have a new quarterback this year, it’s likely the team will rely on the running game more than previous years. Taking over the goal-line duties last season also helps Dillon’s upside.

Fantasy Downside
The downside is pretty obvious. If the Packers offense is worse, they likely won’t be down near the goal line as often as last year and Dillon’s touchdowns, which buoyed his down year last year, will shrink and hurt his stock even more. After a fantastic sophomore season, Dillon took a bit of a downturn last season in efficiency, especially through the air. While he still does get targeted and it isn’t a total zero in the passing game, it’s more likely Jones maintains his fantasy value if the offense struggles.

2023 Bottom Line
Dillon isn’t a fade at his eighth-round ADP, as he is going a few spots after we have him ranked, but he’s the most likely of the skill position players on the Packers to be impacted negatively if the offense sputters. Be cautious with Dillon depending on your team structure to that point.

by Spencer Babbitt

· Dec 30, 2022 · 12:27 AM EST

GB RB A.J. Dillon - Week 17 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 17 vs. Minnesota Vikings
A.J. Dillon only managed 48 total yards on 13 touches last week, but managed to finish as a RB2 with a touchdown on the ground. Dillon actually out-touched Aaron Jones, who is dealing with some nagging injuries despite being active for games. Starting Dillon when Jones is healthy is a risky proposition as he pretty much requires a rushing score to pay off as a fantasy option. Dillon gets a middling matchup this week against the Vikings' mediocre run defense, but volume is a concern due to Jones being fully healthy and the Vikings being absolutely abysmal against the pass, setting up the potential for Matt LaFleur and Aaron Rodgers to air it out in an advantageous matchup. Dillon is not without upside as he has been used frequently at the goal line, but he will likely be a hole in your lineup if he doesn't find the end zone this week.

by Spencer Babbitt

· Dec 23, 2022 · 11:39 AM EST

GB RB A.J. Dillon - Week 16 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 16 at Miami Dolphins
A.J. Dillon remained a change-of-pace option behind Aaron Jones in Week 15 with only 11 carries and three receptions, but he managed to find the end zone twice on the ground to log a RB9 finish on the week with a 41% snap share. Dillon is a big body who runs well near the goal line and has decent hands, but trying to sustain consistent fantasy production on such limited usage is typically a fool's errand. With Jones healthy, Dillon will again have to live off limited touches against an average Dolphins run defense in Week 16. Dillon is not completely useless in fantasy, but he is a high-risk play who will rely heavily on scoring touchdowns.