What a rookie season A.J. Brown posted, especially after Ryan Tannehill took over at QB. Despite not playing 70% of the snaps in a game until Week 10, Brown finished with 52 grabs for 1,051 yards and eight TDs. He averaged a whopping 20 yards per catch, eclipsing the century mark in four of the final six regular season contests with five touchdowns during that stretch.
While Brown’s draft stock is trending up in a big way, it’s possible he’ll see more regression than any other WR. His amazing 12.4 yards per target is 25% better than the all-time career mark shared by Tyreek Hill and Tyler Lockett, so expect that average to take a dip. Brown scored once every 10.5 targets during the regular season but in the playoffs his target share fell to 15%, which was behind Corey Davis.
Brown had a huge second half of ’19 and has already become a top-10 fantasy WR. However, Tennessee remains a run-first offense and had great success with that formula last season, so don’t expect to see Ryan Tannehill’s pass numbers to increase much, if any. Brown should again finish with over 1,000 yards and lead his team in receptions but look for him to receive all kinds of attention from defensive coordinators.