Aaron Rodgers

Week 12 vs. Los Angeles Rams
Even a dubiously-injured toe and the recent COVID-19 diagnosis couldn't stop Green Bay Packers star quarterback Aaron Rodgers from lighting up their border rivals, the Minnesota Vikings, in Week 11. In a full-on shootout, Rodgers passed for nearly 400 yards and four touchdowns on just 33 attempts, and he ended up the fantasy QB2 overall on the week.

Week 12should present a larger challenge for AR12 and company, however: the Los Angeles Rams will visit town and bring with them a more middle-of-the-league ranking by schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed (aFPA) to quarterbacks. Our models still project Rodgers as a mid-range fantasy QB1 in this matchup, though the injuries to the Green Bay offensive line make hopes even wobblier in this spot for a successful passing game.

Week 10 vs. Seattle Seahawks
Aaron Rodgers will be eligible to come off the COVID-19 injury list on Saturday of this week, which should give advance notice to fantasy managers on whether or not he'll play in Week 10. Reports from the Green Bay Packers quarterback and the coaching staff indicate that they expect this to be the case, but he'll have to pass tests to make sure he is healthy enough to play.

That said, if he is active, the Packers' veteran quarterback projects very well against the Seattle Seahawks' 16th-ranked defense by schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed (aFPA) to quarterbacks. Our models project Rodgers as a mid-range QB1 for fantasy this week if he's healthy enough to make his return.

Week 8 at Arizona Cardinals

Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers is currently eighth among quarterbacks in total fantasy points this season, but he hasn't attempted more than 36 passes in a game and has passed for more than two touchdowns just twice in seven games. How is he doing this? A ridiculous 68.3% completion rate and a 17-to-3 touchdown-to-turnover ratio are buoying Rodgers' fantasy value; his hallmark is precision. Rodgers is a classic fantasy game manager in 2021; it's highly unlikely that he'll be below a QB1 in any given week, but it's just as unlikely that he'll be a top-three option and win your week for you.

Fantasy managers should take their high floor and managed expectations into Week 8 for Rodgers, who faces an Arizona Cardinals defense running one of the fastest paces in the league, but allows the fourth-fewest schedule-adjusted fantasy points (aFPA) to quarterbacks. Rodgers comes in by our models as the QB12 this week; a low-end starting option, despite the lack of Davante Adams and Allen Lazard.