• Julio Jones
  • WR
  • , Atlanta Falcons
  • 31
  • 220 lbs
  • 6' 3"
PtsRecYdsRecTDRecRuYds
175.11394699-3

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Draft note
by John Paulsen
Over the past two seasons, Jones has averaged 6.3 catches for 98 yards and 0.34 touchdowns. The knock on him is that he doesn’t catch enough touchdowns, and over the last three seasons he has averaged 0.37 touchdowns when he should have scored 0.97 per game according to Kevin Zatloukal’s expected touchdowns (xTD) model. He’s still a solid first round receiver and is capable of posting a No. 1 overall season if he figures out how to find the endzone more consistently.

Latest news

Scouting report

by Pete Behnke

ATL WR Julio Jones - Week 17 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 17 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Julio was not able to find the end zone in Week 16 but his usage was off the charts for the second straight week. Since Ridley was ruled out with a season-ending abdominal injury, the Falcons are targeting Julio early and often. In Week 16, he finished with 33% of the team targets and 57% of the team air yards. He had 222 air yards, while the next closest receiving option, Austin Hooper, had 78 air yards. Jones finished with 10 receptions on 15 targets for 166 yards. In the last two weeks, Julio has 23 receptions on 35 targets, 300 yards, 375 air yards, two touchdowns, 42% of the team targets and 62% of the team air yards. There is no reason to believe this usage will slow down against the Buccaneers because Ridley’s season is officially over and the Buccaneers have the third-worst defense against wide receivers, per our signature schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed metric. 4for4’s rankings expert, John Paulsen, has Jones ranked as a high-end half PPR WR1.

The Falcons are out of the playoff picture but they were essentially out of the picture after a 1-7 start to their season. Monitor Week 17 news closely, but the Falcons are planning on playing their starters at the time of writing this blurb. It is unknown how long the starters will play but the starters could play the majority of the game if it stays competitive. This matchup has one of the highest over/unders (48) of the week.

2019 Strength of Schedule - ATL
W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17
22
@MIN
14
PHI
23
@IND
25
TEN
12
@HOU
16
@ARI
15
LAR
21
SEA
BYE24
@NO
19
@CAR
29
TB
24
NO
19
CAR
18
@SF
8
JAX
29
@TB

Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.

2019 Game Stats
WeekOppRecRecYdsRecTDTgtsYPRRuAttRuYdsRuTDFumYPCSTDPPRSnaps%
1@MIN6311115.170000-9.115.153/7867.9%
2PHI510621021.200000-22.627.654/6681.8%
3@IND81281916.000000-18.826.846/6175.4%
4TEN4520713.0011001.005.39.363/8078.8%
5@HOU3420714.000000-4.27.256/7475.7%
6@ARI81080913.500000-10.818.847/6968.1%
7LAR6930915.500000-9.315.341/5574.5%
8SEA1015201215.200000-15.225.262/8077.5%
9BYE--------------
10@NO3790926.330000-7.910.963/7979.7%
11@CAR6910815.171-400-4.008.714.753/6581.5%
12TB5680913.600000-6.811.849/8756.3%
13NO--------------
14CAR5660813.200000-6.611.658/7280.6%
15@SF1313422010.310000-25.438.459/6788.1%
16JAX1016601516.600000-16.626.657/7576.0%
17@TB77801311.140000-7.814.873/8982.0%
Per game6.6092.930.4010.4014.080.13-0.2000-1.5011.6718.2755.60/73.1376.27%
Totals991394615614.082-300-1.50175.1274.1834/109776.27%