Week 17 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Julio was not able to find the end zone in Week 16 but his usage was off the charts for the second straight week. Since Ridley was ruled out with a season-ending abdominal injury, the Falcons are targeting Julio early and often. In Week 16, he finished with 33% of the team targets and 57% of the team air yards. He had 222 air yards, while the next closest receiving option, Austin Hooper, had 78 air yards. Jones finished with 10 receptions on 15 targets for 166 yards. In the last two weeks, Julio has 23 receptions on 35 targets, 300 yards, 375 air yards, two touchdowns, 42% of the team targets and 62% of the team air yards. There is no reason to believe this usage will slow down against the Buccaneers because Ridley’s season is officially over and the Buccaneers have the third-worst defense against wide receivers, per our signature schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed metric. 4for4’s rankings expert, John Paulsen, has Jones ranked as a high-end half PPR WR1.
The Falcons are out of the playoff picture but they were essentially out of the picture after a 1-7 start to their season. Monitor Week 17 news closely, but the Falcons are planning on playing their starters at the time of writing this blurb. It is unknown how long the starters will play but the starters could play the majority of the game if it stays competitive. This matchup has one of the highest over/unders (48) of the week.