DFS Quarterback Analysis: Week 9

DFS Quarterback Analysis: Week 9

By Justin Bailey (Justin Bailey), last update Nov 2, 2017

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Justin Bailey resides in Minnesota, definitely isn't Canadian, and is a graduate of the University of North Dakota. His stat-forward DFS analysis has been featured on sites such as Rotoworld, FantasyLabs, and RotoViz.

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An in-depth breakdown of the upside and downside of the QBs on the Week 9 slate is provided below. Analysis includes how to approach each of the chalk options, as well as how options at the various salary tiers fit into overall roster construction. Ultimately, this piece will provide objective analysis to help guide you through the process of finding safe choices for cash games and high-leverage choices for GPPs.

Chalk

UPDATE: Deshaun Watson (ACL) is OUT. More updates coming soon.

With Deshaun Watson tearing his ACL, Dak Prescott, Drew Brees, and Russell Wilson now project to be our highest owned quarterbacks. The analysis remains the same. 

Deshaun Watson projects as our highest-owned quarterback, while all others project slightly below him. The problem with Watson is he is very expensive on both sites, pushing almost $10,000 on FanDuel. Rostering Watson will severely handicap the rest of your roster, which is why I think there isn’t much risk in fading him. Historically, quarterback scoring is very condensed, and unless he drops 30+ points, you won’t be far behind.

  • Deshaun Watson ($9,600/$8,100) has seen his price skyrocket after his Week 8 performance. Price not considered, he’s the best play on the board against a Colts defense ranked 32nd in QB aFPA. Sadly, that’s not how DFS works. His high price tag will limit the skill positions you’re able to roster, therefore likely limiting the floor of the rest of your team. Despite his high price tag, Watson still ranks as a top-two value on both DraftKings and FanDuel for Week 9. He is sporting a league-best 9.3% touchdown rate, while the Colts are allowing teams to score on 44% of their drives, which is a league-high. Deciding to roster Watson will come down to how you approach roster construction.

 

Studs

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2017