Raybon's Review: DFS Lessons Learned in Week 9

Raybon's Review: DFS Lessons Learned in Week 9

By Chris Raybon (Senior Daily Fantasy Expert), last update Dec 20, 2017

Chris Raybon's picture

Chris Raybon is the Senior Daily Fantasy Editor at 4for4 Fantasy Football.

Follow Chris Raybon on Twitter: @ChrisRaybon.

Analyzing the prior week's results is one of the most valuable investments of your time as a DFS player. In this space, I will deconstruct the winning lineups from FanDuel and DraftKings' biggest GPPs, as well as note other important DFS takeaways from the past week.

DraftKings Week 9 Millionaire Maker Winning Lineup Review

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Jamesgames44 took down the Week 9 Millionaire Maker with a balanced lineup featuring no player over $8,100 and no non-DST under $4,300. The lineup was also relatively chalky—the 172.0% total ownership was the second-highest this season and greatly eclipsed the total average ownership in winning Millionaire Maker lineups of 100.6% coming into Week 9.

Given how chalky the lineup was, the leading indicators for the players contained within shouldn’t come as much of a surprise to you if you’re a 4for4 DFS subscriber: Dak Prescott carried our top projected value ranking among QBs on the slate; Todd Gurley, Alvin Kamara, and Carlos Hyde were ranked second, fifth, and seventh, respectively, in GPP odds; Doug Baldwin ranked third among all WRs in GPP odds, and T.Y. Hilton ranked first among WRs under $5,000 in GPP odds; Hilton’s teammate, Jack Doyle, ranked third among TEs in GPP odds (behind Travis Kelce and Trey Burton, who were each fine plays in their own right); and the Eagles DST ranked first in GPP odds at the position, and was going against a Broncos team rated as the best matchup according to aFPA. Simply put and undoubtedly easier said than done, but you could have essentially gotten eight-ninths of the way to this lineup by attempting to maximize GPP odds (available to DFS subscribers via our GPP Leverage Scores page).

Note the two stacks in this lineup: Gurley-Woods and Hilton-Doyle. Both stacks didn’t contain a QB, instead investing in two skill players on offenses that had big days.The Gurley-Woods stack was an investment into the league’s highest-scoring offense against a floundering Giants defense, while the Hilton-Doyle stack was an investment into an offense going against arguably the league’s worst defense. If you’re not familiar with the merits of RB-WR stacks especially, be sure to check out my published research on stacking.

If you were among the 95.0% who didn’t own WR Robert Woods, how could you have landed on him?

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