Scott Smith’s Top Plays for UFC Vegas 122: Allen vs. Duncan

Oct 09, 2026
Scott Smith’s Top Plays for UFC Vegas 122: Allen vs. Duncan

UFC Vegas 122 lands at the Meta Apex this Saturday with a main event that screams stylistic clash and DFS leverage. Brendan Allen drags his suffocating grappling into a five-round headliner against Christian Leroy Duncan, a rangy striker riding five straight wins and desperate to keep this fight upright at all costs. The co-main offers a softer slate anchor as Matheus Camilo is a 13-year-younger pressure wrestler against the aging, eight-inch reach and striking of Jai Herbert. Early-finish upside lives with heavy favorites like RJ Harris and Malcolm Wellmaker, both expected to hunt stoppages inside the distance.

With a compressed middle tier and thin value scattered across the prelims, the real edge lies in exploiting depressed salaries and navigating the wide odds gaps between the haves and have-nots.

Best Bets for UFC Vegas 122: Allen vs. Duncan

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