Week 6 NFL Player Prop Bets: Best Bets from Connor Allen
We had a bounce-back week with a 4-1 record on official plays. Volume has been a bit lighter this year on my end so far, but that should be picking up again in the next few weeks! I have already matched the volume of last week and should have a bunch more in the Discord.
Week 6 NFL Player Prop Bets
Justin Fields UNDER 197.5 Passing Yards (-114 FD, 196.5 DK/CZRS/Builder)
Fields has been a garbage-time king the last two weeks, with just 250 passing yards combined through the first three quarters of those games before padding stats late. The problem is that both of those performances came against the Dolphins and Cowboys, two of the worst pass defenses in the league, ranking 31st and 30th in dropback EPA.
In Week 1, he threw for 218 yards against the Steelers, who have also been poor defensively, ranking 23rd in dropback EPA. The best defense they’ve faced was the Bills in Week 2 (11th), and Fields had just 27 passing yards through three quarters before leaving with a concussion. The Broncos are an elite pass defense that held Jake Browning to 125 yards and Cam Ward to 112 yards, two quarterbacks comparable to Fields in terms of passing ability and surrounding talent.
Risk 1.14 units to win 1 unit
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