Week 4 DraftKings & FanDuel Winning GPP Lineup Review

Oct 04, 2022
Week 4 DraftKings & FanDuel Winning GPP Lineup Review

In this space each week, I will review the winning lineups from the DraftKings Millionaire Maker and the FanDuel Sunday Million. Analyzing top lineups can help to tease out lineup-building strategies and offer clues on how you could have landed on a similar team.

DraftKings Week 4 Millionaire Winning Lineup

Ownership

Ownership in DraftKings Millionaire Maker Winning Lineups, 2022
Week QB RB1 RB2 WR1 WR2 WR3 TE Flex Flex Pos DEF Cumulative
1 9.1% 14.2% 9.3% 27.1% 12.5% 11.2% 17.2% 7.9% WR 3.0% 111.5%
2 3.6% 10.4% 8.4% 21.3% 19.7% 14.4% 9.2% 6.3% WR 1.8% 95.1%
3 2.3% 16.0% 13.9% 16.9% 8.8% 5.6% 2.6% 1.4% WR 15.7% 83.2%
4 6.8% 38.0% 15.2% 15.4% 11.4% 5.7% 19.8% 6.1% RB 3.3% 121.7%
AVG 5.5% 19.7% 11.7% 20.2% 13.1% 9.2% 12.2% 5.4% 6.0% 96.6%

The 121.7% cumulative ownership in this week’s winning lineup was the highest for a Millionaire winner since Week 5, 2020.

This was already the second Millionaire winner in 2022 without a sub-5% player (not including team defense). That only happened once in 2021.

Stacks

Stacks Used in DraftKings Millionaire Maker Winning Lineups, 2022
Week Primary Stack Secondary Stack Third Stack Correlated Players
1 QB/TE RB/Opp WR WR/Opp WR 6
2 QB/WR/WR/Opp TE 4
3 QB/TE RB/Opp WR 4
4 QB/WR/WR/Opp RB/Opp WR/Opp TE 6

Week 4’s Millionaire winner stacked six players from one game, including three players from each team in that game. Dating back to Week 1 of 2022, this is only the second Millionaire winner to use more than four players from one game and the only winner to use more than one player from the quarterback’s opposing team.

Flex

After the first three Millionaire winners in 2022 flexed a wide receiver, this week’s winner used a third running back. In last week’s DFS MVP podcast, John Daigle and I discussed the viability of 3-RB builds in DraftKings tournaments. While 29% of the field flexed a running back, 50% of top-1% lineups rostered three running backs.

Leverage

Rather than leveraging off of the chalkiest plays on the slate, the Millionaire winner leaned into the most popular game and offset their high ownership with a unique six-player combo, bringing down the cumulative ownership with a 7% quarterback and 6% wide receiver.

Josh Jacobs proved to be the best price pivot on the slate, coming in at just 6% with a salary of $200 less than 40% Khalil Herbert.

FanDuel Week 4 Sunday Million Winning Lineup

Ownership

Ownership in FanDuel Sunday Million Winning Lineups, 2022
Week QB RB1 RB2 WR1 WR2 WR3 TE Flex Flex Pos DEF Cumulative
1 9.9% 17.7% 9.1% 17.4% 12.6% 6.2% 14.5% 1.2% RB 2.8% 91.4%
2 3.0% 7.9% 2.8% 9.9% 6.4% 5.9% 8.7% 0.5% WR 4.6% 49.7%
3 4.4% 15.0% 5.0% 15.6% 5.6% 4.2% 4.1% 1.9% RB 6.6% 62.4%
4 2.2% 31.2% 12.8% 11.7% 7.6% 7.6% 20.1% 3.9% RB 4.8% 101.9%
AVG 4.9% 18.0% 7.4% 13.7% 8.1% 6.0% 11.9% 1.9% 4.7% 76.4%

Despite having two players with ownership above 20%, this lineup wasn’t all that chalky. The 101.9% cumulative ownership was the highest of any Sunday Million winner so far in 2022 but nine winners in 2021 had higher total ownership.

Stacks

Stacks Used in FanDuel Sunday Million Winning Lineups, 2022
Week Primary Stack Secondary Stack Third Stack Correlated Players
1 QB/TE 2
2 QB/WR/WR/Opp TE RB/Opp WR 6
3 QB/TE RB/WR/DEF RB/WR 7
4 QB/RB/WR/TE/Opp WR RB/WR 7

Since Week 1 of 2020, no other Sunday Million winner has used five players from one game as this one did. This was only the second winner in that time span to use for players from one team.

Flex

For the third time in four weeks, the Sunday Million winner rostered three running backs. The 4for4 value reports hint at this trend as eight of the top 15 ceiling values were running backs with just three wide receivers in the top 15—the other four top ceiling values were quarterbacks.

Leverage

Rostering two of the most popular players on the slate who were also teammates, this week’s winner offset that high ownership by including that team’s quarterback at 2% and a fourth Lions player at 8% as well as an 8% bring-back.

Jalen Hurts projected as one of the most popular quarterbacks on the slate meaning that a 4% Miles Sanders offered direct leverage off the passing game. The Giants' defense was going against one of the most popular running back plays of the week in Khalil Herbert.

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