Fantasy Football Week 4: Trader's Alley: Buy Low, Sell High, and a Chart

Sep 28, 2022

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Running back truthers are having a tough time so far this year. Only a handful of the top 24 drafted running backs have been able to return on investment. King Henry finally showed up last week. I wanted to include him in the buy section still, but I think you all should get it by now. It seems like overall the market is low on the Tier 1 and 2 running backs and that means there is room to get value!

Let's hop into the buys, sells, and holds.

***Note: Gabe Davis had an issue in my code. Ignore his trend and vs market values. He is in line with the market. His trade value is correct.

Methods

My goal in building a model in 2017 was to quantify each position (wide receiver, tight end, quarterback) in terms of the running back position. I view running backs as the backbone of a fantasy football team. I regularly calibrate my model by scrapping public data for 1-for-1 positional trades to adjust my relationships up or down. This also helps me account for injuries increasing scarcity and shifts in offenses. I built a model that then uses expert ranks as an input or seed file to generate these graphics.