Week 12 DraftKings & FanDuel Winning GPP Lineup Review

Nov 29, 2022
Week 12 Winning GPP Lineup Review

In this space each week, I will review the winning lineups from the DraftKings Millionaire Maker and the FanDuel Sunday Million. Analyzing top lineups can help to tease out lineup-building strategies and offer clues on how you could have landed on a similar team.

DraftKings Week 12 Millionaire Winning Lineup

Ownership

Ownership In DraftKings Millionaire Maker Winning Lineups, 2022
Week QB RB1 RB2 WR1 WR2 WR3 TE Flex Flex Pos DEF Cumulative
1 9.1% 14.2% 9.3% 27.1% 12.5% 11.2% 17.2% 7.9% WR 3.0% 111.5%
2 3.6% 10.4% 8.4% 21.3% 19.7% 14.4% 9.2% 6.3% WR 1.8% 95.1%
3 2.3% 16.0% 13.9% 16.9% 8.8% 5.6% 2.6% 1.4% WR 15.7% 83.2%
4 6.8% 38.0% 15.2% 15.4% 11.4% 5.7% 19.8% 6.1% RB 3.3% 121.7%
5 12.1% 14.1% 13.9% 27.0% 13.4% 7.5% 7.8% 9.6% RB 22.7% 128.1%
6 4.4% 12.7% 8.5% 14.7% 4.9% 3.2% 2.6% 2.4% WR 0.6% 54.0%
7 17.0% 46.7% 32.1% 15.4% 2.6% 2.1% 8.1% 21.4% RB 43.8% 189.2%
8 21.1% 50.9% 12.5% 27.6% 28.8% 26.4% 1.6% 7.4% WR 0.9% 177.2%
9 14.2% 40.5% 13.6% 14.9% 10.0% 8.5% 1.4% 12.2% RB 10.2% 125.5%
10 29.4% 25.8% 10.6% 20.4% 16.9% 10.3% 16.0% 2.4% WR 16.0% 147.8%
11 0.6% 13.4% 11.3% 14.1% 4.6% 3.7% 5.4% 5.6% RB 6.6% 65.3%
12 7.0% 10.4% 3.5% 14.8% 13.1% 8.8% 17.4% 4.5% WR 24.2% 103.7%
AVG 10.6% 24.4% 12.7% 19.1% 12.2% 9.0% 9.1% 7.3% 12.4% 116.9%

For the third time this season, the Millionaire Maker winner rostered a defense that was at least 20% owned. From 2019–2021, there were only four such winners.

Millionaire winners this season are averaging four sub-10% players and two sub-5% players, just as this lineup had.

The average cumulative ownership of winning Millionaire lineups this season is starting to converge on the historical average (107% from 2019–2021).

In 2020 and 2019, five Millionaire winners stacked a quarterback and running back from the same team but this was only the second to do so without a pass-catcher from the same team as well.

Stacks

Stacks Used In DraftKings Millionaire Maker Winning Lineups, 2022
Week Primary Stack Secondary Stack Third Stack Correlated Players
1 QB/TE RB/Opp WR WR/Opp WR 6
2 QB/WR/WR/Opp TE 4
3 QB/TE RB/Opp WR 4
4 QB/WR/WR/Opp RB/Opp WR/Opp TE 6
5 QB/WR RB/WR/TE WR/Opp WR 7
6 QB/WR/Opp RB 3
7 QB/WR/TE RB/Opp RB 5
8 QB/WR/WR RB/DEF WR/TE 7
9 QB/WR/TE/Opp WR RB/DEF 6
10 QB/Opp WR RB/Opp WR TE/Opp WR 6
11 QB/WR/Opp RB 3
12 QB/RB WR/Opp TE WR/DEF 6

This was the first Millionaire winner in 2022 to stack a quarterback and running back from the same team and the second to play a quarterback without one of his primary pass-catchers.

Only two other Millionaire winners this season have correlated their defense with another player from the same team. Four other winners from 2019–2020 used a WR/DEF mini-stack.

Flex

The field flexed a running back 46% of the time—the highest rate in 2022—while top-1% lineups flexed a running back in 59% of lineups. While 14% of the field flexed a tight end, that number was just 6% for top-1% lineups.

Leverage

Rachaad White was one of two players on at least 40% of rosters, making his teammate Chris Godwin a fantastic leverage play.

Josh Jacobs offered same-game leverage off of Ken Walker, who was the third-most-popular running back and in 28% of lineups.

Three players in the Chargers-Cardinals game had ownership of at least 18% while Justin Herbert was one of five quarterbacks on at least 10% of rosters, which helped a Kyler Murray-James Conner combination gain ground on the field.

FanDuel Week 12 Sunday Million Winning Lineup

Ownership

Ownership In FanDuel Sunday Million Winning Lineups, 2022
Week QB RB1 RB2 WR1 WR2 WR3 TE Flex Flex Pos DEF Cumulative
1 9.9% 17.7% 9.1% 17.4% 12.6% 6.2% 14.5% 1.2% RB 2.8% 91.4%
2 3.0% 7.9% 2.8% 9.9% 6.4% 5.9% 8.7% 0.5% WR 4.6% 49.7%
3 4.4% 15.0% 5.0% 15.6% 5.6% 4.2% 4.1% 1.9% RB 6.6% 62.4%
4 2.2% 31.2% 12.8% 11.7% 7.6% 7.6% 20.1% 3.9% RB 4.8% 101.9%
5 17.8% 17.4% 13.0% 22.7% 14.7% 0.9% 3.8% 6.3% RB 4.6% 101.2%
6 4.2% 29.8% 2.9% 13.7% 4.3% 4.0% 0.4% 0.7% WR 8.0% 68.0%
7 16.2% 25.1% 22.6% 17.5% 5.4% 4.0% 11.3% 16.0% RB 2.9% 121.0%
8 22.7% 61.6% 14.9% 25.7% 23.0% 10.3% 7.7% 14.3% RB 17.0% 197.2%
9 7.2% 31.1% 8.8% 16.0% 12.1% 4.3% 1.1% 6.4% RB 11.6% 98.6%
10 21.6% 26.0% 10.5% 24.4% 17.1% 6.3% 13.7% 5.2% RB 12.4% 137.2%
11 24.2% 15.9% 4.6% 19.6% 4.7% 3.7% 7.8% 1.6% RB 10.9% 93.0%
12 11.7% 15.9% 12.2% 12.9% 8.9% 4.3% 14.6% 2.2% RB 12.8% 95.5%
AVG 12.1% 24.6% 9.9% 17.3% 10.2% 5.1% 9.0% 5.0% 8.3% 101.4%

Despite having just three players under 10%, this lineup was more contrarian than the average 2022 Sunday Million winner—that was partially because it was the first winning lineup since Week 3 without a player above 20% ownership.

On average, 2022 Sunday Million winners are using five sub-10% players, three sub-5% players, and one player above 20%.

Stacks

Stacks Used In FanDuel Sunday Million Winning Lineups, 2022
Week QB RB1 RB2 WR1 WR2 WR3 TE Flex Flex Pos DEF Cumulative
1 9.9% 17.7% 9.1% 17.4% 12.6% 6.2% 14.5% 1.2% RB 2.8% 91.4%
2 3.0% 7.9% 2.8% 9.9% 6.4% 5.9% 8.7% 0.5% WR 4.6% 49.7%
3 4.4% 15.0% 5.0% 15.6% 5.6% 4.2% 4.1% 1.9% RB 6.6% 62.4%
4 2.2% 31.2% 12.8% 11.7% 7.6% 7.6% 20.1% 3.9% RB 4.8% 101.9%
5 17.8% 17.4% 13.0% 22.7% 14.7% 0.9% 3.8% 6.3% RB 4.6% 101.2%
6 4.2% 29.8% 2.9% 13.7% 4.3% 4.0% 0.4% 0.7% WR 8.0% 68.0%
7 16.2% 25.1% 22.6% 17.5% 5.4% 4.0% 11.3% 16.0% RB 2.9% 121.0%
8 22.7% 61.6% 14.9% 25.7% 23.0% 10.3% 7.7% 14.3% RB 17.0% 197.2%
9 7.2% 31.1% 8.8% 16.0% 12.1% 4.3% 1.1% 6.4% RB 11.6% 98.6%
10 21.6% 26.0% 10.5% 24.4% 17.1% 6.3% 13.7% 5.2% RB 12.4% 137.2%
11 24.2% 15.9% 4.6% 19.6% 4.7% 3.7% 7.8% 1.6% RB 10.9% 93.0%
12 11.7% 15.9% 12.2% 12.9% 8.9% 4.3% 14.6% 2.2% RB 12.8% 95.5%
AVG 12.1% 24.6% 9.9% 17.3% 10.2% 5.1% 9.0% 5.0% 8.3% 101.4%

This was the second Sunday Million winner this season to stack a quarterback with his running back—over the previous two seasons, seven winners used a running back in their primary stack.

Only one other Sunday Million winner since the start of 2020 has stacked two wide receivers from the same team without that team’s quarterback.

Leverage

Although Julio Jones had a pedestrian fantasy day, pairing two Tampa Bay pass-catcher led to a unique build in a week where Rachaad White was on 42% of rosters.

Ken Walker was in seven times as many lineups as Josh Jacobs in the same game.

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