Fantasy Upside
The Bills couldn't ask for much more from Stefon Diggs in his first year with the team. They were looking for a true No. 1 and the numbers dictated that. He had career highs in targets, receptions and receiving yardage. All of those numbers ranked No. 1 in the NFL in each category. Buffalo's passing game should continue to flourish as QB Josh Allen continues to mature so Diggs' numbers could be repeated or even exceeded.
Fantasy Downside
The league never woke up when it came to defending Diggs so with the off-season to gameplan around what the Bills offense did, it could be more difficult for Diggs to reach those numbers again. And although he ranked high in most categories, touchdown receptions weren't one of them. He only had eight total which ranked 15th in the NFL. Buffalo really spread the wealth in the red zone as eight receivers had at least five red-zone receptions in 2020.
Bottom Line
Diggs became a Top-5 fantasy receiver last season and was a steal with an ADP in the sixth round. This season, he is going in the late first or early second round. Although Diggs will still be heavily targeted and produce big numbers again, his numbers should slightly regress but still be top 5 in the NFL. If you take Diggs early in a PPR or half-PPR league, you will get still get value worth the selection. The numbers with the Vikings and now with one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL show he is legit.
Week 17 vs. Miami
Stefon Diggs had double-digit targets for the sixth time in the last seven games and now has three straight 100+ yards receiving games. He and QB Josh Allen are in a zone right now and with the No. 2 seed on the line, they will continue their run as long as both are healthy.
Diggs faces the Dolphins for the second time this season. He caught 8 passes for a season-high 153 yards and a touchdown. Miami is ranked 21st in aFPA to wide receivers.
With a favorable matchup and the fact that Diggs will play with Allen, Diggs still ranks a WR1 for Week 17. He might not play the whole game, but he will get enough fantasy numbers to help your fantasy team.
Week 16 at New England
Stefon Diggs now has three straight double-digit target games and a minimum of eight in each of the last 10 games. There is no doubt that he is QB Josh Allen's favorite target and the production is there. Last Saturday, Diggs had 11 receptions for 147 yards which was his second-highest total of the season.
Diggs will face a tough New England defense which is ranked second in aFPA to wide receivers. Star cornerback Stephon Gilmore is out but expect coach Bill Belichick to find a way to keep Diggs in check. He had six catches for 92 yards in the first meeting.
Start Diggs as a high-end WR2 for Week 16. He should put up some good numbers even if they aren't what we saw in the last couple of weeks.
Week 15 at Denver
Stefon Diggs was unstoppable in the third quarter last Sunday. He had 10 catches in a game for the third time in the last four games and his second-highest receiving yardage total of the season (130). It's amazing that teams still know Diggs is the player they need to stop and just can't do it.
Diggs will face a tough Denver defense who is ranked 1st in aFPA to wide receivers. He has also benefitted from the emergence of Gabriel Davis as a deep threat which has helped his numbers.
Diggs is a WR1 in standard leagues and a top-five wide receiver in PPR leagues. People can't seem to game plan around him at this point and until they figure him out, he should keep putting up big numbers.
Week 14 vs. Pittsburgh
Stefon Diggs continues to be one of the most targetted receivers in the NFL. Last week, QB Josh Allen looked Diggs' way 10 times which produced 10 receptions for 92 yards. It was the sixth time this season that Diggs had double-digit receptions. With Allen playing at a high level after a mini-slump, Diggs continues to be the beneficiary of a reborn passing game.
Diggs will face the Steelers who are ranked 15th in aFPA to wide receivers. Even though Pittsburgh's defense has been one of the best this season, they have given up yardage in the passing game.
Start Diggs as a WR2 for Week 14. No matter the opponent, Diggs is going to get opportunities and put up good fantasy numbers every week.
Week 13 vs. San Francisco
Stefon Diggs had seven receptions last Sunday but for a season-low 39 yards and 5.6 yards per catch. Diggs has done a great job stretching the field so it was strange seeing dinks and donks for him since that's not his game.
Diggs will face the Niners who are 14th in aFPA to wide receivers. The game will be played in Arizona and we expect Diggs to bounce back with bigger plays.
Start Diggs as a solid WR2 for standard leagues and a WR1 for PPR leagues for Week 13. The Niners' defense has been good for the most part, but Diggs will get his receptions like he does every week.
Week 12 vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Stefon Diggs was a perfect 10 for 10 in the game against Arizona - 10 targets, 10 receptions. He ended up with 93 yards and a touchdown and has become one of the most reliable receivers in the league this season. He now has 73 receptions for 906 yards and four touchdowns which puts him on track for his best season ever.
Diggs will face the Chargers who are 12th in aFPA to wide receivers. The matchups haven't affected the veteran receiver too much this season as he has been good against everyone and is easily the most targetted player in the Buffalo passing game.
Start Diggs for Week 12 as a top 5 fantasy wide receiver in PPR formats and a solid WR1 in standard leagues. Expect a high-scoring affair on Sunday and Diggs will get his targets and receptions as usual.
Week 10 at Arizona
Stefon Diggs recorded his fourth 100+ receiving yard game of the season. It was also the fourth time this season he was targeted 10+ times. The trade to acquire Diggs from Minnesota has been a huge success with the exception of touchdowns. He has only had three this season.
Diggs will face the Cardinals who are ranked 13th in aFPA to wide receivers. Both these offenses have been great this season with young quarterbacks leading the way. With Josh Allen elevating Diggs to another level, he has become a premier fantasy wide receiver.
Start Diggs in Week 10 against Arizona as a top-five fantasy wide receiver. He has had very few bad games this year and with the matchup, it should be another big game for the Bills passing game and Diggs will be the beneficiary.
Week 9 vs. Seattle
Stefon Diggs has had six receptions in each of the last three games. His yardage total went up this past Sunday to 92 yards. The Bills offense has trended downward the past month. But that shouldn't affect Diggs too much. His numbers were better earlier in the year but he remains the No. 1 option in the Bills passing game.
Diggs will face the Seahawks who are dead last in aFPA to wide receivers. This means a great matchup for the Buffalo passing game and Diggs should be a beneficiary of the matchup.
Start Diggs in all leagues and formats as a solid WR1. He should have a huge game at home against a Seattle defense that has let receivers run wild at times in 2020.
Week 8 vs. Patriots
Stefon Diggs had double-digit targets for the third time this season. It produced six receptions but for only 48 yards. Diggs also failed to get into the end zone, but so did the entire Bills team who settled for 6 field goals.
Diggs will be introduced to the Patriots rivalry this Sunday. New England is ranked 16th in aFPA to wide receivers. The Pats defense is not nearly what it has been in recent years, but not awful either.
Start Diggs for Week 8 but as a WR2. He had been ranked higher in recent weeks, even as a WR1 at times this season, but there will be plenty of receivers with bigger games this weekend.
