Week 3 at Miami Dolphins
When people mention the best receiver in the NFL, Stefon Diggs' name rarely comes up. Maybe it should. With the No. 2 receiver out, Diggs continued to put up numbers with 12 receptions for 148 yards and 3 touchdowns on Monday night. That makes back-to-back 100+ receiving yard games and 20 total catches to start the season. Yes, it helps to have Josh Allen as your quarterback, but Diggs is making a lot of plays on his own.
The Dolphins are up next and are ranked 21st in aFPA to wide receivers after two weeks. Last season, he was limited in his production with a combined 9 receptions for 100 in the two meetings against Miami. However, he did have two touchdown receptions in those games.
Start Diggs as a top-5 fantasy receiver for Week 3. Right now, it's been impossible to stop him and despite the Dolphins success last year containing him, we feel he is at a whole other level so far in 2022.
Week 2 vs. Tennessee
Stefon Diggs didn't disappoint last Thursday night. He was targeted 9 times, caught 8 passes for 122 yard and a touchdown. This is what he is capable each week and the way the Bills offense played, expect a lot of games with these type of numbers.
Tennessee is up next and after the first week, they are 31st in aFPA to wide receivers. The Titans secondary is decent, but Diggs has the advantage in this matchup.
Start Diggs in all leagues and formats as a solid WR1 receivers. Until someone shows they can contain him, he will be dangerous every week and one of the top fantasy receivers in the NFL.
Week 1 at Los Angeles Rams
Stefon Diggs caught over 100 passes for over 1,200 yards and 10 TDs in 2022 and he is just hitting his prime. Buffalo's offense is one of the best with QB Josh Allen and Diggs is his most reliable target.
The Bills face the Rams who were 7th in aFPA to wide receivers in 2021. More important, Diggs will be matched up against Pro Bowl corner Jalen Ramsey. This won't limit Diggs from having a good fantasy night, but it also probably means he won't go off with a fantasy night to remember.
Start Diggs as a solid WR1 for Week 1. We expect the Bills to throw the ball alot and he should see double digit targets, even with Ramsey. Six catches for 80+ yards should be the expectation for Thursday which is still a good night for any receiver.
2022 Fantasy Upside
Stefon Diggs was one of the best receivers in the NFL last season and continues to be a major fantasy impact player. He caught 103 passes last season for 1,225 yards and his 164 targets were 5th in the NFL. He also had a career-high 10 touchdowns in 2021. He will continue to be the first option for QB Josh Allen in the Buffalo passing game. The Bills will move him around in the offensive sets to limit the double-teams, but last season he still found ways to get open.
2022 Fantasy Downside
Although his fantasy numbers were off the charts, his overall stats took a step back last season, with the exception of touchdowns, despite the same amount of targets. Part of the reason is NFL defenses are now game-planning against Diggs and that will limit his production at times. He had 24 more receptions in 2020 with 310 less yards.
2022 Bottom Line
Diggs is easily a top 5 fantasy receiver playing with arguably the best quarterback in the NFL. No matter what defenses do, they will not stop him from producing. Many teams are taking him the first round as their WR1 and that is a good call because he will play that way again 2022. His numbers still might take a step back from last year because of the attention he attracts and Buffalo has put more weapons on the field at other positions, but he will still have huge WR1 numbers.
Week 17 vs. Atlanta
It has been a strange fantasy run for Stefon Diggs whose stat line has been repeating every other week. This past Sunday, he was back up to 13 targets and 7 receptions. The week before he had 7 targets and 4 receptions. Then 13 and 7. Then 7 and 4 again. So if you go by that trend, he is due to be back at 7 targets and 4 receptions again. One positive we have seen is back-to-back games with touchdown receptions.
Diggs will face the Falcons this Sunday who are ranked 30th in aFPA to wide receivers. Maybe that mismatch will stop his recent trend and Diggs will get those double-digit targets again this week.
Start Diggs as a solid WR1 for Week 17. One thing to keep in mind is that all the other receivers should be back this week so that might spread the ball around a little more and keep Diggs from being a top 5 receiver.
Week 16 at New England
Stefon Diggs and the Buffalo passing game were limited last week as he ended up with four receptions for 35 yards. He did score a touchdown to help fantasy owners. The Bills were actually able to mount a running game so the passing game wasn't as prominent as recent weeks.
Diggs will face the Patriots for the second time this season. New England ranks 3rd in aFPA to wide receivers. He had four catches for 51 yards in the first meeting. When Diggs gets double-digit targets, he is one of the best fantasy receivers.
Start Diggs for Week 16. He is a solid WR1 against the Pats. His numbers should be better than the first meeting with New England.
Week 15 vs. Carolina
Stefon Diggs had double-digit targets for the first time in five weeks and it produced seven receptions for 74 yards. After scoring touchdowns in three straight games and five of six, he has not reached the end zone the last two games. Diggs owners would love to see QB Josh Allen throw the ball 50+ times again this week, because Diggs targets will stay at the level we were used to seeing last week.
Diggs faces the Panthers who are ranked 18th in aFPA to wide receivers. We expect another big day for the Bills passing game as Carolina is tough against the run and Buffalo doesn't run the ball much anyway with their running backs.
Start Diggs as a low-end WR1 for Week 15. The big games that were common last season have been few and far between in 2021. He will put up solid numbers but it's tough to rank him as one of the top fantasy receivers, even with double-digit targets.
Week 14 at Tampa Bay
Weather basically made the passing game useless on Monday so Stefon Diggs was limited with four receptions for 51 yards. Hard to draw any conclusion from a game with 40 mph wind gusts. Diggs remains one of the best receivers in the NFL and fantasy.
Buffalo travels to Florida where the weather will be slightly better. Diggs will face the Buccaneers who are ranked 9th in aFPA to wide receivers. Tampa's defense has been up and down and the secondary has struggled with injuries.
Once again, Diggs is a solid WR1. Expect him to get his share of targets and have good numbers for Week 14 despite a slightly unfavorable matchup.
Week 13 vs. New England
Stefon Diggs is doing one thing he didn't do a lot last season - scoring touchdowns. He had another one last Sunday which means he has scored five touchdowns in the last five weeks. Diggs also had seven receptions for 74 yards last week. He remains the main passing target in the offense.
Diggs has a tough matchup as the Patriots are ranked sixth in aFPA to wide receivers. It's a huge showdown on Monday night between these two teams. Diggs did have two big games against New England last season although the 2021 Pats defense is much better.
Start Diggs in all leagues and formats as a solid WR1 for Week 13. This game could go either way and the offenses could go in either direction as well.
Week 12 at New Orleans
Stefon Diggs had only six targets last week which was his lowest amount since Week 5. He ended up with only four catches for 23 yards, but he scored two touchdowns. and now has five in the past five games. Diggs' numbers were crazy last year except for the touchdowns, but the scores are keeping him consistently high in the rankings.
Diggs will face the Saints who are ranked 30th in aFPA to wide receivers. We expect the Bills to bounce back on national TV after a poor showing last Sunday.
With a very favorable matchup, expect Diggs to get back to double-digit targets and have a big Thanksgiving eve. Start him as a solid WR1 for Week 12.
