Fantasy Upside
Jarvis Landry quietly had the most efficient season of his career last year. Landry’s 83 receptions were a far cry from his career-high of 112, yet he still managed to set a career high in receiving yards (1,174) due to his seventh place finish among wide receivers in yards after the catch and 26.6% target share in the Cleveland offense. The result of Landry’s efficiency was a 12th place finish among wide receivers in PPR scoring. By now there should be an alarm going off in the heads of observant fantasy drafters who would note Landry is currently being drafted as a WR3. Landry’s draft stock appears to be suffering from the perception that he only catches short passes over the middle of the field. His underlying metrics from last season show that this is just not true. Furthermore, Landry has the most established rapport with quarterback Baker Mayfield of anyone in the Browns’ offense. Landry projects as a value at his current ADP.
Fantasy Downside
Landry’s target share has room for regression, and the Browns will be hoping for greater contributions out of Odell Beckham, Kareem Hunt and their tight ends in the passing game this season. Landry may be getting more efficient as he gets older, but a reduction in volume is always concerning for fantasy purposes. On that same note, Landry will have to adapt to new Head Coach Kevin Stefanski’s run-heavy scheme. While this scheme might result in greater overall offensive efficiency in Cleveland, it will likely cost the pass catchers some targets in the long run.
2020 Bottom Line
Landry is being drafted as a WR3, which would appear to be his floor based on his production with Mayfield under center. Landry presents great value at his current ADP as someone who will be priced as a flex play but could easily return WR2 numbers.
Week 17 at Cincinnati Bengals
Jarvis Landry looked like he was back on the Dolphins last week with a PPR-heavy performance, catching seven passes for 74 yards on nine targets (all team highs). Landry's had a solid 2019 despite a lot of struggles on this Browns offense, already with 1,000 yards on the season. He should have another productive game this week in a favorable matchup against the Bengals. He finished 4-76 against Cincy earlier this season. Landry hasn't scored in four games, but he's still a strong play as a WR1.
Week 16 vs. Baltimore Ravens
Jarvis Landry had one of his worst games of the season last week, finishing with five receptions for a season-low 23 yards and no touchdowns. He faces a Ravens defense this week he had success against earlier in the year with 167 yards (season-high) off of eight catches. Even though Baltimore's defense is strong, it hasn't been that tough on receivers this season. Landry can be viewed as a lower-end WR2 or a strong WR3 this week vs. Baltimore. He's been limited in practice with a hip injury, but he should be fine to play.
Week 15 at Arizona Cardinals
Jarvis Landry led Cleveland in receiving last week, finishing 4-76 on seven targets. He's been limited in practice this week with a hip injury, but he's expected to play. Landry has been productive this year (five yards shy of 1,000) despite the Browns' struggles on offense. His production should continue this week in a favorable matchup against the Cardinals who have allowed the fourth-most receiving yards to wideouts this season. We like Landry as a strong WR2 against Arizona.
Week 14 vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Jarvis Landry has played well despite the Browns' offense suffering in 2019. Landry finished with a solid 6-76 last week on 11 targets. Over his last six games, Landry is averaging 80 yards, has scored five times and has seen 10 or more targets five times. Expect another productive outing in Week 14 as he gets a favorable matchup against the Bengals. Trust Landry as a solid WR2 this week.
Week 13 at Pittsburgh Steelers
Jarvis Landry exploded last week, finishing 10-148-2 on 13 targets. Landry has been on a hot streak lately, scoring five times in his last four games. He's also seen at least 10 targets in four of his last five games. He gets a difficult matchup this week against the Steelers, a team he finished 4-43-1 against a few weeks ago. It was a nice fantasy outing, but without that touchdown, it wasn't a great game. Still, Landry has been too hot as of late to worry about him this week. He should be viewed as a strong WR2.
Week 12 vs. Miami Dolphins
Jarvis Landry finished 4-43-1 last week on seven targets, third on the team behind Odell Beckham and Kareem Hunt. He's now scored a touchdown in three straight games as he's consistently produced WR2 numbers this season. Expect that trend to continue in Week 12 as Landry draws a favorable matchup against the Dolphins. Miami has allowed the second-most receiving touchdowns to wide receivers in the league (16) so there's a decent chance Landry's TD streak continues.
Week 11 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Jarvis Landry had one of his best games of the year last week, finishing with a single-game season-high in receptions (9), his second single-game high in receiving yards (97) and a touchdown. He's also seen double-digit targets in three straight games, making him a valuable PPR option moving forward. Landry has been mostly consistent in 2019 as a lower-end WR2. Expect similar numbers from him this week against Pittsburgh in a decent matchup.
Week 10 vs. Buffalo Bills
Jarvis Landry caught six of his team-high 13 targets for 51 yards and a touchdown last week. That's been his only score of the season in a somewhat frustrating year for the receiver. Landry's now had double-digit targets in back-to-back weeks. He could struggle a bit in Week 10, however, as he gets a tough matchup against the Bills. Landry should be viewed more as a WR3 in Week 10.
Week 9 at Denver Broncos
Jarvis Landry saw a team-high 10 targets last week, but finished 5-65 as he faced a tough matchup. That's still solid production considering he was facing New England, though. Landry's now finished with at least 60 receiving yards in all but two games this year. But he gets another tough test this week against the Broncos who are allowing the fewest fantasy points to receivers. You can likely expect similar production to last week, making Landry a WR3.
