Trey Lance
  • Trey Lance

  • QB
  • , Dallas Cowboys
  • 23
  • 224 lbs
  • 6' 4"
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Scouting report

by Brandon Niles

SF QB Trey Lance - Week 2 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 2 vs. Seattle Seahawks

Trey Lance had a rough start to the season in horrible weather conditions in Chicago last week. He threw for 164 yards and an interception, completing just 46.4% of his passes. He did add 54 yards on 13 rushes, however, showing his ability to pad his passing stats with production running the ball.

The Seahawks came away with the win against Denver last week, but they still allowed Russell Wilson to throw for 340 yards and a touchdown. Lance should have no trouble exploiting Seattle as he returns home to the bay area. We have him ranked as a fringe QB1 option with upside, given his rushing potential. Start him.

by Brandon Niles

SF QB Trey Lance - Week 1 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 1 at Chicago Bears

Trey Lance didn’t play much in his first season, though he did make two starts. In those starts, he finished as the fantasy QB20 and the QB10. He also was the QB13 in a Week 4 game where he relieved Jimmy Garoppolo. Lance adds a tremendous amount of fantasy value based on what he does with his legs. Despite seeing limited action, he still finished the season with 168 yards and a touchdown on the ground. He also benefits from a solid supporting cast around him. Guys like Deebo Samuel can take a short pass the distance at any moment.

To kick off the season, Lance faces a Bears defense that ranked 14th in aFPA to opposing quarterbacks last season, but traded away their top pass rusher in Khalil Mack. The Bears are likely in rebuilding mode, and with Lance’s incredible rushing upside, we have him ranked inside our top-10 fantasy quarterbacks this week. Start him.

by Bob Harris

SF QB Trey Lance - 2022 Fantasy Football Outlook

2022 Fantasy Upside
If there was any question before, there is none now. John Lynch and Kyle Shanahan met with Jimmy Garoppolo on the first day of training camp. The three men talked, and after, Shanahan told reporters, "We have moved on to Trey." That would be Trey Lance, officially the starting quarterback for the 49ers. Lance is raw and talented, with a big arm and elusive running ability. As 4for4's John Paulsen reminded readers, Lance started two games as a rookie. In Week 5, he threw for 192 yards and rushed for 89 en route to a QB20 finish. In Week 17, he racked up 249 passing yards and two touchdowns through the air while adding 31 yards on the ground, finishing QB10 on the week. He also played about half the game in relief of Garoppolo in Week 4, and finished QB13. Lance warmed up in both of those starts, playing better in the second halves. He ran well and hit more big plays than Garoppolo.

2022 Fantasy Downside
Based on those rookie appearances, Lance still needed to improve his fundamentals this offseason to help lead a playoff roster.

2022 Bottom Line
Thanks to his rushing ability and the 49ers' good receiving corps, Paulsen contends if Lance starts 15-plus games this season, he's a good bet to finish in the Top 10.

by Brandon Niles

SF QB Trey Lance - Week 17 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 17 vs. Houston Texans

Trey Lance may make another start to close out the fantasy season against the Texans this week. Watch the injury report closely, as Jimmy Garoppolo hasn’t been ruled out yet, despite dealing with an injured thumb. If Garoppolo can’t go, then Lance immediately becomes a viable starting option. The Texans quietly rank 10th in aFPA to opposing quarterbacks, but Lance has the rushing upside that makes him a quality fantasy option, regardless of his still-developing passing skills. He ran for 130 yards over his two games where he played significant snaps earlier this year. Pick him up if you can.

by Brandon Niles

SF QB Trey Lance - Week 5 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 5 at Arizona Cardinals

Trey Lance came in and put up solid numbers in relief of Jimmy Garoppolo last week, throwing for 157 yards and two touchdowns, while adding 41 yards and a two-point conversion on the ground. Lance only completed 50% of his passes and looked like a work-in-progress still. Much of his production came on a 76-yard blown coverage touchdown to Deebo Samuel that he underthrew. That being said, he has that rushing upside and some excellent weapons to work with, so fantasy managers should definitely add him to rosters wherever possible. This week, Lance has a surprisingly difficult matchup against a Cardinals defense that ranks ninth in aFPA to opposing quarterbacks. We have him ranked just outside of QB1 territory, but he has upside and if Garoppolo can’t play, Lance will have every opportunity to take that job permanently. He’s a QB2 option with upside.

UPDATE: Lance will get the start. He's worth considering in deeper leagues or if you need help at the position, given his high rushing upside.

by Bob Harris

SF QB Trey Lance - 2021 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside
As framed it, "From North Dakota State, the San Francisco 49ers' franchise quarterback of the future has emerged. ..." Kyle Shanahan and the 49ers foreshadowed their general intentions in March by orchestrating a trade for the third overall selection, and their specific plan was quickly revealed with the selection of Trey Lance. Just how quickly Lance replaces incumbent starter Jimmy Garoppolo obviously remains to be seen, but San Francisco has its QB1 of the future. Big and physical, Lance showcases a strong pocket presence, the ability to shake off defenders, the versatility to play under center and out of the shotgun, and solid velocity on his ball. Any time a high-profile player emerges from an FCS program, questions abound regarding the level of competition he faced, but Lance has the tools and intangibles. During his one full season starting for the Bison, Lance threw for 2,786 yards, completed 66.9% of his passes and tossed 28 touchdowns in 16 games with no interceptions.

Fantasy Downside
Lance's decision-making and accuracy are plusses, but still, he could use some time to develop at the NFL level. As such, the 49ers maintain they'd love for Garoppolo to lead the team successfully as Lance learns behind him, but it also seems like they'll be just fine if circumstances dictate advancing that timetable.

2021 Bottom Line
As noted above, the 49ers traded up to land Lance knowing exactly what they have in Garoppolo, who will turn 30 this season. The 49ers are built to win, but that doesn't necessarily mean it has to be with the veteran signal caller. If the coaching staff turns to Lance -- and we expect that to be the case, don't expect them to turn back.

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