Tyreek Hill may have finished as the No. 30 WR (half-PPR) last season, but he was No. 10 in average fantasy points per game. And that includes two games where he played fewer than 20% of the snaps and two games without Patrick Mahomes at QB. In the games where he played fully with Mahomes at QB (including playoffs), Hill put up elite numbers: 15.0 fantasy points per game. He was also incredibly consistent, finishing with 50+ receiving yards in every game he played at least 20% of the snaps. That’s an extremely high floor, especially for someone who scores as often as Hill (20 times in last 28 regular season games).
Hill missed a pair of games in 2019 due to injury, so his durability is always a concern. The Chiefs also draw a tough schedule in 2020 — facing the Patriots, Bills, Chargers (twice) and Ravens, who all finished inside the top six in pass defense last year (yards allowed).
2020 Bottom Line
There’s plenty to like about Hill this season. Assuming he stays healthy and Mahomes remains his quarterback, there really isn’t much downside to him. He should finish as a top five wideout in 2020. He’s talented enough to have a steady floor each week, and his speed allows him to have breakout games with big plays. He should be viewed as an elite first-round option.