• Philip Rivers

  • QB
  • , Indianapolis Colts
  • 39
  • 228 lbs
  • 6' 5"
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Scouting report

by Brandon Niles

IND QB Philip Rivers - 2020 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside

Philip Rivers has been one of the steadiest fantasy quarterbacks over the past decade, and is always a value pick with a reasonable ADP. Over his last seven years, he’s averaged 4,483 yards and 29.7 touchdowns per season and has been a top-12 quarterback in fantasy points in five of the past seven seasons. Rivers will join a new team this year, but he will play under Head Coach Frank Reich, who coached him for three years with the Chargers. The transition shouldn’t be difficult with his familiarity with the system. He has good weapons in T.Y. Hilton and rookie Michael Pittman and the fourth-best offensive line according to Justin Edwards this year.

Fantasy Downside

Rivers has definitely slipped the past two years, ranking 18th in fantasy points last season and throwing 20 interceptions to 23 touchdowns. He’ll be 39 years old in December and it’s possible he’s just done. He looked like a shell of his old self last season, despite 4,615 yards. Frank Reich was pass-happy in 2018, second only to the Steelers in pass attempts, but plummeted to 25th last year – though the sudden retirement of Andrew Luck certainly contributed. However, the Colts just drafted a running back in the second round of the draft, despite already having a capable starter on the roster and they have an emerging defense. They could very well try to win on the ground and let Rivers play more of a game-manager role in the twilight of his career.

2020 Bottom Line

Even if Rivers is done being a quality starter, his 14th-round ADP in 12-team leagues makes him a pretty low-risk investment for fantasy drafts. He’s in a nice position to succeed in his new location and is worth considering in all league formats as a value QB2 you can plug and play.

by Pete Behnke

LAC QB Philip Rivers - Week 17 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 17 at Kansas City Chiefs
In Week 16, Rivers was 27/39 for 279 yards, zero touchdowns, zero interceptions and finished as the QB22.

Monitor Week 17 news closely because information is imperative to success in the final week. The Chargers have been out of the playoff picture for quite some time. However, at the time of writing this, the Chargers are likely to play their starters because this could be Rivers’ last game as a Charger.

Rivers is in a difficult matchup on the road and the Chargers are only implied for 18.25 points. Kansas City is the sixth-best defense against quarterbacks, as shown by our signature schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed metric. 4for4’s rankings expert, John Paulsen, has Rivers ranked as the QB22. Better streaming options should be available on the waiver wire.

by Pete Behnke

LAC QB Philip Rivers - Week 16 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 16 vs. Oakland Raiders
After a QB7 performance in Week 14, Rivers came crashing back to earth. In Week 15, he was 28/39 for 307 yards, had one touchdown, three interceptions and finished as the QB29. Rivers has thrown 11 interceptions over his last five games.

The Raiders are the second-worst defense against quarterbacks, as shown by our signature schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed metric. 4for4’s rankings expert, John Paulsen, has Rivers ranked as the QB15. This puts Rivers in play for championship matchups but his wide range of outcomes makes him a very risky start.

by Pete Behnke

LAC QB Philip Rivers - Week 15 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 15 vs. Minnesota Vikings
In Week 14, Rivers had a highly efficient performance and finished as the QB7. It was the first time this season Rivers finished above the QB9 mark. He was 16/22 for 314 yards, three touchdowns, and zero interceptions. Not throwing an interception was truly shocking considering he had thrown eight interceptions in his previous three games combined.

Rivers broke out last week but it may have been a one and done performance. He is in play in two-quarterback leagues but trusting him in the semifinals of single quarterback leagues could burn fantasy managers. The Vikings are eighteenth best against quarterbacks, as shown by our signature schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed metric. 4for4’s rankings expert, John Paulsen, has Rivers ranked as a low-end QB2.

by Pete Behnke

LAC QB Philip Rivers - Week 14 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 14 at Jacksonville Jaguars
In Week 13, Rivers was 20/29 for 265 yards, two touchdowns, one interception, and finished as the QB17. Rivers has yet to finish above QB9 this season.

The end of the season can’t come soon enough for Philip Rivers. Rivers has been a streaming candidate several times this season but should not be in consideration on the road against Jacksonville. Jacksonville is the 20th defense against quarterbacks, as shown by our signature schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed metric. The blueprint to beating Jacksonville is not through the air but on the ground. 4for4’s rankings expert, John Paulsen, has Rivers ranked as the QB25.

by Pete Behnke

LAC QB Philip Rivers - Week 13 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 13 at Denver Broncos
The Chargers had a bye in Week 12.

This is purely observational, but Philip Rivers looked completely washed in Week 11 on national TV against the Kansas City Chiefs. Rivers has been a streaming candidate several times this season but should not be in consideration on the road against the Denver Broncos. The Broncos are fifth-best against quarterbacks, as shown by our signature schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed metric. Rivers has yet to finish above QB9 this season, per Evan Silva. 4for4’s rankings expert, John Paulsen, has Rivers ranked as a low-end QB2.

by Pete Behnke

LAC QB Philip Rivers - Week 11 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 11 vs. Kansas City Chiefs (Mexico City)
Rivers was in a great matchup on Thursday night against the Oakland Raiders but completely blew his primetime opportunity. He was a reasonable streaming option but did not come through for his team or fantasy managers. He was 17/31 for 207 yards, threw two touchdowns, three interceptions, and finished as the QB21. Rivers was in a position to lead his team to a comeback victory but he threw seven consecutive incompletions on the final drive and an interception to end the game.

Rivers is back in primetime on Monday Night Football in Mexico City. The Kansas City defense is more susceptible to giving up yards on the ground than through the air. Derrick Henry rushed for 188 yards and two touchdowns against the Chiefs in Week 10. The good news for the Chargers is this game has the highest over/under (52.5) of the week and could turn into a shootout. The Chiefs are 13th-worst against quarterbacks, as shown by our signature schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed metric. 4for4’s rankings expert, John Paulsen, has Rivers ranked as a high-end QB2. Rivers has yet to finish above QB9 this season, per Evan Silva, but may be forced into a decent number of passing situations if the Chiefs get off to a hot start.

Philip Rivers news

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