Nick Chubb Fantasy Football Week 13 Scouting Report

Nick Chubb
RB
, Houston Texans

Age: 30
Weight: 227 lbs
Height: 5' 11"
College: Georgia

ADP: 138
Depth Chart Ranking: 2

Pts	RuYds	RuTD	Rec	RecYds
61.3	435	2	12	58

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Scouting report

by Frank Ammirante

· Nov 05, 2021 · 9:53 AM EDT

CLE RB Nick Chubb - Week 9 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 9 at Bengals

Nick Chubb was disappointing in his return last week, rushing 16 times for 61 yards (3.8 YPC). It was surprising to see Chubb not have a bit of a larger role in the passing game in Kareem Hunt's absence, but perhaps this was just the Browns easing him in since it was his first game back. Chubb remains one of the most efficient runners in the NFL (5.5 YPC), so he's always in play as an RB1, especially with Hunt out.

Chubb faces a Bengals defense that ranks 26th in aFPA to running backs, so this is a good matchup. While D'Ernest Johnson figures to play a role, you have to think that we see Chub get about 20 touches in this spot. There's a chance that this game turns into a shootout because the Browns might struggle to contain this Bengals' passing game. This bodes well for Chubb.

by Frank Ammirante

· Oct 29, 2021 · 10:05 AM EDT

CLE RB Nick Chubb - Week 8 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 8 vs. Steelers

Nick Chubb returns to the lineup after missing last week's Thursday nighter against the Broncos. Chubb is in line for a larger workload with Kareem Hunt sidelined with a calf injury. While we saw D'Ernest Johnson go off for 146 yards on 22 carries, we can safely project more volume for Chubb than what he was seeing when Hunt was healthy. You'll probably see Johnson spell Chubb a bit to keep him fresh, but you have to think that 20+ touches are in play for the star running back.

Chubb goes up against a Steelers defense that ranks 6th in aFPA to running backs and 9th in rush DVOA. However, this Browns' offensive line is fantastic at run-blocking, ranking 1st in the NFL in Adjusted Line Yards. They are also 1st in rush DVOA, so we shouldn't be too concerned about the matchup. Consider Chubb as an RB1 in this spot.

by Frank Ammirante

· Oct 14, 2021 · 12:06 PM EDT

CLE RB Nick Chubb - Week 6 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 6 vs. Cardinals

Chubb is coming off a big game against the Chargers, where he rushed 21 times for 161 yards and one touchdown. He also caught his lone target for nine yards. Chubb continues to put up absurd efficiency, averaging 5.8 yards per carry while posting 17.5 fantasy points above expectation, which ranks fourth among running backs.

While the Cardinals rank eighth in aFPA to running backs, they haven't faced a running game as good as this yet. The Browns rank second in adjusted line yards, which means that their offensive line is elite at run-blocking. We've also seen Arizona give up efficient games to Darrell Henderson Jr. (6.4 YPC) and Dalvin Cook (6.0 YPC). Chubb looks poised for another productive week.

by Frank Ammirante

· Oct 08, 2021 · 9:57 AM EDT

CLE RB Nick Chubb - Week 5 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 5 at Chargers

Chubb has been his usual efficient self this season, averaging 90.5 rushing yards per game with 5.2 yards per carry, but he's been a zero in the passing game, posting only four targets this season. He's also only averaging 18.25 touches per game, which caps his upside. Kareem Hunt is playing well, so he continues to see a solid workload.

However, this game projects as a good spot for Chubb to approach his weekly ceiling. The Chargers have given up big games to Clyde Edwards-Helaire (17 carries for 100 yards) as well as Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard (combined for 29 carries for 180 yards). We could see the Browns mimic the Cowboys' approach and pound their two running backs here. Chubb needs to be considered an upside RB1 in this spot.

by Frank Ammirante

· Oct 01, 2021 · 10:41 AM EDT

CLE RB Nick Chubb - Week 4 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 4 at Vikings

Chubb currently ranks as RB8 in half-PPR points per game, but he's only playing on 52.74% of the snaps while averaging 17 touches. Chubb hasn't been a factor in the passing game at all, catching all three of his targets for 21 yards this season. Having said that, this is one of the best pure runners in football (5.5 YPC), running behind an elite offensive line. He's an RB1 on a weekly basis, but the ceiling is capped due to usage.

Chubb goes up against a Vikings defense that ranks 21st in aFPA to running backs. This team gave up big games to Joe Mixon (150 yards on 33 touches), and Chris Carson (6.7 YPC), so this is an exploitable matchup for Chubb. There's also a good chance that he finds the endzone given his high touchdown equity in a projected high-scoring game.

by Frank Ammirante

· Sep 24, 2021 · 10:34 AM EDT

CLE RB Nick Chubb - Week 3 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 3 vs. Bears

Chubb is currently averaging an absurd 6.8 yards per carry with 178 yards and three touchdowns on 26 rush attempts. He's running behind one of the best offensive lines in football, so while we will see a decrease in efficiency, he's likely to remain one of the most efficient backs in the NFL all year long. The issue here is that he's only averaging 13 carries per game so far, but after averaging 15.8 last season, we can safely project a bump in volume going forward.

Chubb goes up against a Bears defense that has been solid against the run, allowing only 3.81 yards per carry, good for 11th in the NFL. However, the Bears have not faced a running game like this one, so it's tough to worry too much about Chubb in this spot. The Browns are seven-point favorites, which means that they project to control the game and play with the lead. This looks like a potential positive game script for Chubb, which could result in more volume. He's an every-week RB1.

by Frank Ammirante

· Sep 16, 2021 · 4:06 PM EDT

CLE RB Nick Chubb - Week 2 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 2 vs. Texans

Chubb rushed for 83 yards and two touchdowns on 15 carries in Week 1 against the Chiefs. He also added two receptions for 23 yards. Chubb finished as the RB3 in half-PPR formats despite only getting 17 touches. He played only 52.54% of the snaps last week, which demonstrates his risk since he doesn't get the same usage as some of the other elite RB1s in the league.

Chubb is in a smash spot against the Texans this week. This is a defense that ranked 31st in aFPA last season. The Browns should be able to control this game and win by double-digits, setting up a run-heavy game script for Chubb to do major damage. The risk here is that the game gets out of hand early and the Browns opt to rest Chubb and let Kareem Hunt carry the load. However, this matchup is too good to worry about something like that, so we need to consider Chubb a top-5 RB this week.