Justin Jefferson Fantasy Football Week 0 Scouting Report

Justin Jefferson
WR
, Minnesota Vikings

Age: 25
Weight: 202 lbs
Height: 6' 1"

ADP: 7
Depth Chart Ranking: 1

Pts	RecYds	RecTD	Rec	RuYds
134	1074	5	68	-12

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Scouting report

by Matt Jones

· Sep 22, 2023 · 11:31 AM EDT

MIN WR Justin Jefferson - Week 3 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 3 vs. Los Angeles Chargers

The consensus 1.01 from this summer is off to a solid start. Justin Jefferson is a victim of his own excellence. He's gone for 309 yards on 20 catches and is on pace for 170 catches for 2,600 yards. But, that's just what we expected, right? The only knock on him is that he's yet to find the end zone, but on this volume that will surely change.

There isn't a roster setup or a league where you wouldn't be starting him.

by Matt Jones

· Sep 13, 2023 · 6:25 PM EDT

MIN WR Justin Jefferson - Week 2 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 2 at Philadelphia Eagles

Justin Jefferson is coming off a performance that, for anybody else, would be a career day. He tallied nine receptions on a dozen targets, racking up 150 yards on Sunday. Jefferson was on the field for 98% of the snaps and all of those trends should continue throughout the season.

Now, Jefferson gets a matchup with a depleted secondary on Thursday Night Football. We have him projected as the WR2 overall this week, just behind Tyreek Hill. This is a no-brainer, he should be in every lineup that you have him on your roster.

by Matt Jones

· Sep 08, 2023 · 11:25 AM EDT

MIN WR Justin Jefferson - Week 1 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 1 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Justin Jefferson takes the field on Sunday looking to pick up where he's left off the last couple of seasons. He was the clear-cut 1.01 throughout draft season and he gets a Buccaneers defense that gave up 17 touchdowns to wide receivers last year. Jefferson was a target hog last season, earning double-digit targets in 10 games and never dipping below five in a given game.

by Matt Jones

· Jul 25, 2023 · 2:00 AM EDT

MIN WR Justin Jefferson - 2023 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside
Justin Jefferson has quickly established himself as one of the premier wide receivers in the NFL. In his third season in 2022, Jefferson led the league in fantasy points scored, was third in yards per route run (2.70), and third in expected fantasy points per game (21.7). With the departure of Adam Thielen, Jefferson's target share could increase even further. Despite scoring only eight touchdowns in 2022, two fewer than in his rookie season, Jefferson's high volume of targets and red-zone opportunities combine to mean there's a good chance we could see positive touchdown regression in 2023.

Fantasy Downside
Jefferson's elite talent and the volume of targets he is expected to receive should help mitigate any perceived risk. It seems like the only thing that could slow him down would be an injury. Even a breakout season from another pass-catcher shouldn't slow Jefferson down.

2023 Bottom Line
Jefferson is a top-tier wide receiver for the 2023 fantasy season. His high volume of targets, red-zone opportunities, and proven production make him a valuable asset. We currently have him ranked as the overall WR1 for 2023. He's worth considering as the first pick in your draft. His potential to finish as the overall WR1 is very high.

by Spencer Babbitt

· Dec 30, 2022 · 12:41 AM EST

MIN WR Justin Jefferson - Week 17 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 17 at Green Bay Packers
Justin Jefferson now has an insane 47 targets over his last three games. He has finished as a top-three weekly fantasy option amongst wide receivers in four of the Vikings' last five games. Jefferson is rapidly approaching Calvin Johnson's single-season (16-game) yardage record, needing 208 yards over the final two weeks of the season to match Megatron's number from 2012. Needless to say, with stats and skills like that matchups don't really matter much. Jefferson gets the mediocre Green Bay secondary this week, and even a matchup against Jaire Alexander is not nearly enough to seriously dock Jefferson's fantasy projection. He is the top receiver play of the week and will likely win some managers a fantasy title due to his historic third season.

by Spencer Babbitt

· Dec 22, 2022 · 3:20 PM EST

MIN WR Justin Jefferson - Week 16 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 16 vs. New York Giants
Unsurprisingly, Justin Jefferson was a huge part of the Vikings' comeback against the Colts in Week 15. Jefferson saw a whopping 16 targets from comeback-mode Kirk Cousins and caught 12 of them for 123 yards and a score. Jefferson has finished as one of fantasy's top-three wide receivers in four of his last six games. He is posting elite numbers in virtually every advanced metric for wideouts (2.93 yards per route run and 10.3 yards per target), and continues to lead the league in traditional counting stats like targets, receptions, receiving yards, and fantasy points per game. The Giants boast a mediocre defense that will have plenty of issues putting a lid on Jefferson's elite talent. He is once again an elite WR1 in Week 16, just like he is every week.

by Spencer Babbitt

· Dec 15, 2022 · 7:53 PM EST

MIN WR Justin Jefferson - Week 15 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 15 vs. Indianapolis Colts
How do you finish as the week's overall WR1 without scoring a touchdown? How about going off for 11 catches and a Vikings franchise-record 223 yards through the air. Oh, and it should have been closer to 250 yards plus a score but the referees inexplicably ruled Jefferson stepped out of bounds after a long catch when it appears he did not actually touch the line. The Colts have an above-average defense against opposing receivers, but slowing Jefferson down has proven to be a monumental task for any secondary this season. Jefferson boasts a 30.4% target share, leads the league in targets and receiving yards (and has a realistic shot at challenging Calvin Johnson's yardage record), and ranks second in the league with 99 catches on the year. He is an easy WR1 in fantasy every week regardless of opponent or scoring format.