John Brown

Brown was one of my favorite later-round targets last year. He’s a good route-runner and has explosive speed, and is/was a good match for Josh Allen’s willingness to chuck it downfield. With 72 catches for 1,060 yards and six touchdowns on 115 targets, he finished No. 20 last season and was also No. 20 through the first nine weeks of the 2018 season, before Lamar Jackson took over for Joe Flacco and the Ravens went really run-heavy down the stretch. He once again has top 20 upside, but with the arrival of Stefon Diggs, he’ll need a break or two along the way. Either the passing pie in Buffalo needs to grow--which is a distinct possibility given the Bills’ investment in Diggs--or it needs to be very concentrated, with Diggs and Brown getting the vast majority of the targets. Brown is currently going off the board as a WR4, but he could see his targets drop by 30% (to 80.5) and he could still meet those expectations. Cole Beasley saw 106 targets last year, so I think Brown should be good for 90+ even if Diggs plays a full season.