Fantasy Upside
Aaron Rodgers will don a different uniform for the first time in his NFL career and brings a Hall-Of-Fame resume to New York. There is a little doubt he will upgrade the position for the Jets. New York went out and hired his former offensive coordinator in Green Bay, Nathaniel Hackett, which will help the transition. The Jets also have better overall offensive weapons on the roster than the Packers did last season.
Fantasy Downside
Rodgers' stats fell hard last season. His completion rate, TD rate, yards per attempt, and QBR all hit multi-year lows and his 26 passing touchdowns were his fewest since 2018. One theory is he wasn't the same quarterback without Davante Adams which is definitely a possibility. The other thing you will get with Rodgers is the drama off the field and in the New York market, that can be magnified.
2023 Bottom Line
The Jets will be better offensively but don't expect a return to pre-2022 numbers for Rodgers. At 39, he has already hit his peak. New York is hoping he will be serviceable and manage the game to get them victories, not league MVPs. He is definitely not a QB1 coming into the season and he should be drafted as a low-risk/high-reward option somewhere in the late rounds of your draft.