NBA Player Prop Bets: Under the Bridges
Tonight's NBA slate features a great matchup with the Boston Celtics facing the Oklahoma City Thunder. This will be the matchup to watch, but for betting purposes, I will be staying clear of that game and turning to a couple of games where I really like a couple of under-point plays. The Brooklyn Nets seemed to be spiraling, losing eight of their last ten games to go up against the New Orleans Pelicans. The Pelicans are moving in the opposite direction from the Nets, winning seven of their last ten and climbing the standings. The other play I like is in the Chicago Bulls game against the Philadelphia 76ers. The 76ers are 10-point favorites in the return of Joel Embiid from a multi-game absence. There will be a lot of interest in the Embiid versus Andre Drummond matchup as the two have some history back in 2018. In a game when Drummond was playing against the 76ers, Drummond fouled Embiid, and Embiid, let's say, played it up a bit and lobbied to the referees that Drummond be ejected. The referees, moments later, did eject Drummond from the game. Since then, the two have been teammates and haven't played much against each other. It remains to be seen if this is an actual feud or just fanfare. I will be watching closely with my popcorn to find out, though.
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January 2nd NBA Player Prop Bets
As with every slate in the NBA, the biggest edge we have in sports betting is news. It is critical to follow the news up to tip off with lots of potential opportunities opening up. Here are a couple of the plays I am looking at for tonight. Join the Discord for the most up-to-date information as the news unfolds.
Mikal Bridges (BKN) Under 21.5 Points (-105 Bet365)
Mikal Bridges has gone over this line in only two of the last ten games. In one of the games he hit 29, against the Detroit Pistons on 12/23, it took him hitting 10/10 free throws, while averaging only 4.7 made free throws in December (15 games). He's 10th just on his own team in true shooting with 56.8%. Shooting only 45.8% from the field, this is Bridges second worst shooting percentage only slightly better than the 43% he shot in his rookie season. His three-point percentage also is down from his career norms, at 35.9%. If this wasn't bad enough, his free throw shooting is also near the worst of his career (outside of his rookie season), at 82.9%.
In addition to Bridge's poor performance this season, this matchup isn't a get-right spot for him as the Pelicans defense is eighth in defensive rating.
Risk: 1.05 units to win 1 unit.
Coby White (CHI) Under 22.5 Points (-120 ESPNBET/BetMGM)
Coby White initially took advantage of Zach Lavine’s absence, but in the past six games, and seven of the last nine, has failed to go over this line.
In order for White to go over this, his three point shooting volume and efficiency were incredible, however recently has come back to normal. In the past seven games, White hasn’t had more than eight three-point attempts, while in the previous stretch, he was above ten attempts routinely. His volume is down, and combined with his percentage decrease, it makes this line a very difficult number for White to clear.
In addition to White’s struggles, this 76ers matchup won’t help. The 76ers are ten-point favorites with Embiid returning and are allowing the 6th lowest three-point percentage to opponents this season.
White not only has multiple paths to stay under this line, such as blowout/less minutes than usual, but really needs a 90th percentile outcome to go over this. He needs 36+ minutes, a high volume of threes, and needs to make them.
Risk: 1.2 units to win 1 unit.
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