NBA Player Prop Bets: LaMelo Looks to Ball Out Versus the Bucks

Nov 17, 2023
NBA Player Prop Bets: LaMelo Looks to Ball Out Versus the Bucks

The NBA In-Season Tournament is back tonight with an 11-game slate with plenty of great matchups, including four games with a nice high game total of more than 235 points. The Bucks face the Hornets in a high-paced matchup of stars, along with some unexpected good matchups like the Hawks facing the 76ers, with the Hawks playing competitive basketball.

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November 17th NBA Player Prop Bets

Our last article on Tuesday went 2-0, with Bilal Coulibaly and Scottie Barnes clearing their lines. Last night on the small slate, we hit on Lonnie Walker going over his 9.5 points total with ease. As always, the biggest edge we have in sports betting is news. It is critical to follow the news up to tip off with lots of potential opportunities opening up. Here are a couple of the plays I am looking at for tonight. Join the Discord for the most up-to-date information as the news unfolds.

LaMelo Ball (CHA) Over 25.5 Points (-110 Bet365)

LaMelo Ball is averaging 22.2 points per game. However, he is averaging 29.8 points per game in the five games since Terry Rozier has been out. While the return of Miles Bridges is tonight, I don't expect him to eat into Ball's scoring, especially if Brandon Miller or Gordon Hayward are ruled out (currently Questionable). This matchup versus the Bucks is also a nice matchup with the Bucks defense, nothing close to what it was last season. This is indicated by the Vegas odds for this game with a 240.5 total. We should see a high-scoring, high pace game here, with Ball leading the way.

Scorers vs MIL this season:

Barnes (TOR): 29

Banchero (ORL): 26

Haliburton (IND): 29

Cunningham (DET): 33

Thomas (BKN): 45

Brunson (NYK): 45

Schroder (TOR): 24

Herro (MIA): 35

Maxey (PHI): 31

Risk: 1.15 units to win 1 unit.

Bilal Coulibaly (WAS) Over 7.5 Points (-115 Bet365)

Running back Coulibaly here, as his line is still at 7.5, is because projections are factoring in the Knicks' defense and pace, which does not impact Coulibaly in the normal ways that it would most players in this situation. Even in blowouts and lower-paced games, Coulibaly has gone over this number, including a 13-point loss to the Mavericks and an 18-point loss to the 76ers. He has gone over this line in the past four games straight and six out of the last eight. There is a good margin here with the minutes he is getting in multiple game scripts, with low volume and still hitting. If his volume goes up by any amount, his line is going to jump up into the 12.5-point range.

Risk: 1.15 units to win 1 unit.

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For the most up-to-date picks subscribe to our Discord!. This sheet from Dan Rivera tracks all my betting picks (and those from the rest of the betting staff) for the year. Just click on the tab with my name on it for the results.

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